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Liga Profesional de FĂștbol

Central Cordoba SdE - Instituto

08/16/2026, 11:15 PM

0 : 1
Expected Goals
Central Cordoba SdE
0.8
Total xG
2.4
Instituto
1.6
Most Likely Scores

1:1

13%

0:1

13%

0:2

12%

0:0

10%

1:2

9%
What influences the xG?
CCSINS

Central Cordoba SdE

Attack weakness (0.74x league average)
-0.59
Defensive weakness (1.5 conceded vs 1.2 league avg)
+0.29
4 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (0.8 goals/match)
-0.01
Full strength squad available

Instituto

Attack strength (1.84x league average)
+1.26
3 clean sheets in last 5 matches
-0.15
Defensive strength (1 conceded vs 0.9 league avg)
+0.07
3 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1.2 goals/match)
+0.04
Full strength squad available

League

Low-scoring league (2.1 goals/match)
-0.44
-0.44
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    Instituto: first goal in 6 of 8 games (75%)

  • 2
    Central Cordoba SdE with Horacio Tijanovich: 1.3 goals/game. Without: 0 goals/game (6 of 8 games)

  • 3
    Instituto: scored only after the break in 4 of 8 games

  • 4
    Instituto with MatĂ­as Gallardo: 0.8 goals/game. Without: 2 goals/game (6 of 8 games)

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

17%

Draw

28%

Away Win

56%

Goals

Over 1.5

72%

Under 1.5

28%

Over 2.5

44%

Under 2.5

56%

Over 3.5

23%

Under 3.5

77%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

44%

Away or Draw

83%

No Draw

73%

Both Score

Yes

46%

No

54%

Key Factors
  • Away win probability of 56% according to mathematical prediction
  • Instituto averaged 5.8 shots on target in recent matches
  • Strong form of the visitors with 4 wins in their last 5 matches
Risk Factors
  • Instituto concedes an average of 1.43 goals in away matches
  • Central Cordoba concedes only 0.69 goals per home match on average
  • Limited data availability regarding weather conditions
Overview

Central Cordoba SdE (13th place, 16 points) host Instituto (9th place, 21 points) at Estadio Alfredo Terrera

Liga Profesional de FĂștbol match on August 16, 2026, 11:15 PM

The away team arrives as favorites while the hosts need crucial points

Form

Central Cordoba SdE has the form sequence LLLWW

Instituto travels with a strong form sequence of WLWWW

The hosts recently celebrated two consecutive wins

The visitors won four of their last five matches

Statistics

Central Cordoba scores an average of 0.7 goals per game this season

Instituto averages 1.05 goals scored and 0.95 goals conceded per match

The hosts' home record stands at only 0.69 goals scored and conceded per game

Instituto concedes an average of 1.43 goals away from home

Head-to-Head

In 2 head-to-head matches both teams have won once

The goal difference stands at 2 to 3 from the hosts' perspective

The last direct encounter ended in a 2-0 win for Instituto

Key Players

Michael Santos averages 0.45 goals per 90 minutes and scored three goals in the last 5 matches

Diego Barrera has 3 goals in 19 appearances this season

Alejandro Maciel recorded 1 goal and 1 assist in 18 appearances

Alex Luna scored 6 goals in 19 appearances this season

Diego Sosa created multiple chances with 4 assists in 20 appearances

Giuliano Cerato has already scored 3 goals this season as a defender

Goalkeepers

Alan Aguerre played 18 matches keeping 5 clean sheets

Marcos Ledesma achieved 3 clean sheets in 4 appearances this season

Influences

The match will be played on grass at Estadio Alfredo Terrera

Central Cordoba shows defensive stability at home with an average of 0.69 goals conceded

Weather data is not available for this match

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