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Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Atlético Tucumán

08/17/2026, 05:45 PM

0 : 1
Expected Goals
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto
0.9
Total xG
2.3
Atlético Tucumán
1.4
Most Likely Scores

1:1

14%

0:1

12%

0:0

11%

0:2

9%

1:2

9%
What influences the xG?
EDRCAT

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto

Defensive weakness (1.7 conceded vs 1.2 league avg)
+0.54
Attack weakness (0.72x league average)
-0.33
Rising form (0.5 vs 0.4 season average)
+0.03
5 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (0.4 goals/match)
-0.00
14% of goal output missing (only 85% available)
Strong home record (0.8 vs 0.4 goals/match)

Atlético Tucumán

Attack strength (1.23x league average)
+0.84
4 clean sheets in last 5 matches
-0.15
4 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (0.8 goals/match)
-0.10
Leandro Díaz not in squad (7 goals, 1 assists)
Maximiliano Villa not in squad (1 goals, 1 assists)
46% of goal output missing (only 56% available)

League

Low-scoring league (2 goals/match)
-0.45
-0.45
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    Estudiantes de Río Cuarto with F. Romero: 0.3 goals/game. Without: 1 goals/game (6 of 8 games)

  • 2
    Estudiantes de Río Cuarto: scored only after the break in 3 of 8 games

  • 3
    Atlético Tucumán: scored only after the break in 3 of 8 games

  • 4
    Atlético Tucumán with Luciano Andrés Vallejo: 0.8 goals/game. Without: 0.3 goals/game (5 of 8 games)

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

24%

Draw

31%

Away Win

45%

Goals

Over 1.5

69%

Under 1.5

31%

Over 2.5

41%

Under 2.5

59%

Over 3.5

20%

Under 3.5

80%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

55%

Away or Draw

76%

No Draw

69%

Both Score

Yes

47%

No

53%

Key Factors
  • Offensive upward trend: Both teams currently score more frequently than their season averages (Home 0.5 vs 0.4, Away 1.3 vs 1.1)
  • Advantage for the visitors according to mathematical analysis: The prediction model calculates an away win probability of 45%
  • Tactical setup: Both teams recently played counter-oriented styles with low possession (Home 41%, Away 39%)
Risk Factors
  • Leandro Díaz and Maximiliano Villa are missing for the visitors, leaving only 57% of usual goal production available
  • Estudiantes de Río Cuarto scores an average of only 0.36 goals per home game
  • The home team averaged only 2.2 shots on target per match recently
Overview

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto host Atlético Tucumán

Liga Profesional de Fútbol on August 17, 2026, 6:45 PM

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto is in 15th place with 5 points

Atlético Tucumán is in 13th place with 14 points

A crucial matchup in the lower part of the table

Form

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto form: LWLDL

The home team recorded 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses recently

Atlético Tucumán form: WDWDL

The away team recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss recently

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

Statistics

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto scores an average of 0.35 goals and concedes 1.45 goals per game

In home games, the home team scores an average of 0.36 goals and concedes 0.71 goals

Atlético Tucumán scores an average of 0.9 goals and concedes 1.1 goals per match

In away games, the visitors score an average of 0.9 goals and concede 1.4 goals

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto kept 5 clean sheets this season, while Atlético Tucumán recorded 8 clean sheets

Head-to-Head

There has been 1 head-to-head match

Atlético Tucumán won this match

The last meeting ended 0-4 in favor of Atlético Tucumán

Goal difference of 0-4 for Estudiantes de Río Cuarto

Key Players

Gabriel Alanís scored 2 goals this season with an average rating of 6.74

Sergio Ojeda recorded 1 goal this season and a rating of 6.71

Matías Valenti contributed 1 assist with a rating of 6.66

Renzo Tesuri scored 2 goals and provided 1 assist this season with a rating of 6.55

Franco Nicola also has 2 goals and 1 assist this season with a rating of 6.83

Clever Ferreira contributed 1 goal and 1 assist with a rating of 7.11

Goalkeepers

Lucas Bruera made 4 appearances this season with an average rating of 6.97

Luis Ingolotti played 20 matches and achieved a rating of 6.73

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto achieved 5 clean sheets this season, while Atlético Tucumán kept 8 clean sheets

Influences

An average of 1.8 goals per game were scored recently at the Estadio Ciudad de Río Cuarto

Both teams scored in 2 of the last 5 matches at this venue

The match is played on natural grass

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