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Liga Profesional de FĂștbol

Racing Club - Banfield

08/14/2026, 11:30 PM

0 : 1
Expected Goals
Racing Club
1.1
Total xG
2.0
Banfield
0.9
Most Likely Scores

1:1

15%

0:0

15%

1:0

12%

0:1

11%

2:0

8%
What influences the xG?
RCBAN

Racing Club

Attack weakness (0.77x league average)
-0.13
4 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1 goals/match)
-0.08
Small sample (9 matches) - regression to mean
+0.05
AdriĂĄn MartĂ­nez not in squad (4 goals, 1 assists)
MatĂ­as Zaracho not in squad (3 goals, 0 assists)
Santiago Sosa not in squad (1 goals, 1 assists)
48% of goal output missing (only 60% available)

Banfield

3 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1 goals/match)
-0.03
Tiziano Perrota not in squad (6 goals, 1 assists)
Santiago LĂłpez GarcĂ­a on the bench (2 goals, 4 assists)
Ignacio Abraham on the bench (0 goals, 4 assists)
David Zalazar on the bench (1 goals, 3 assists)
Bruno SepĂșlveda on the bench (1 goals, 1 assists)
TomĂĄs AdoryĂĄn not in squad (0 goals, 2 assists)
100% of goal output missing (only 3% available)
Weak away record (0.8 vs 1.1 goals/match)

League

Low-scoring league (2.1 goals/match)
-0.43
-0.43
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    Banfield with Santiago Esquivel: 1 goals/game. Without: 0 goals/game (6 of 8 games)

  • 2
    Racing Club: first goal in 5 of 7 games (71%)

  • 3
    Banfield: 7 of 8 games without conceding in H1, but only 2 over 90 minutes

  • 4
    Racing Club with Ignacio RodrĂ­guez: 1.4 goals/game. Without: 0.7 goals/game (5 of 8 games)

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

37%

Draw

34%

Away Win

29%

Goals

Over 1.5

62%

Under 1.5

38%

Over 2.5

33%

Under 2.5

67%

Over 3.5

15%

Under 3.5

85%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

71%

Away or Draw

63%

No Draw

66%

Both Score

Yes

42%

No

58%

Key Factors
  • Severe lineup crisis for Banfield: Only 4% of active goal share is available with key contributors like Tiziano Perrota missing
  • H2H dominance: Racing Club won 3 out of the last 4 direct clashes against Banfield scoring 10 goals
  • Away defensive struggles: Banfield concede an average of 2.00 goals per match away from home
Risk Factors
  • Weakened hosts: Racing Club has only 60% of active goal share available with key players like AdriĂĄn MartĂ­nez missing
  • Low scoring projection: The model calculates a probability of only 33% for Over 2.5 goals
  • Struggling form: Racing Club have suffered 3 defeats within their last 5 fixtures
Overview

Racing Club host Banfield at the Estadio Presidente Juan Domingo PerĂłn

Liga Profesional de FĂștbol match scheduled for August 14, 2026, 11:30 PM

Racing Club are in 8th place with 21 points

Banfield sit in 12th place with 18 points

Form

Racing Club's recent form is LWDLL with 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses

Banfield's form is WLWDL with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses

Both teams suffered defeats in their most recent fixtures

Note: W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

Statistics

Racing Club average 1.05 goals scored and 1.05 goals conceded per match

Banfield average 1.00 goal scored and 1.20 goals conceded per game

Banfield's defense struggles away from home, conceding an average of 2.00 goals per match

Head-to-Head

The head-to-head history shows 4 matches with 3 wins for Racing Club and 1 for Banfield

Racing Club lead the goal tally 10:4

The last direct encounter ended in a 2:0 victory for the home side

Key Players

TomĂĄs Conechny has registered 3 goals and 2 assists in 21 matches

Matko Miljevic has scored 1 goal and provided 1 assist in 18 games

Ezequiel Cannavo contributed 1 goal in his 17 appearances

Santiago Daniele has recorded 1 assist in 7 season appearances

NicolĂĄs Meriano has played 16 matches this season

Lisandro Piñero has made 14 appearances in the current campaign

Goalkeepers

Facundo Cambeses has made 22 appearances, recording 8 clean sheets

Gino Santilli has not made any appearances this season

Influences

The match will be played on a natural grass surface

Matches at this venue average 2.2 goals per game

The model estimates a 43% probability of both teams scoring

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