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Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Huracán - Deportivo Riestra

08/23/2026, 12:00 AM

0 : 0
Expected Goals
Huracán
1.2
Total xG
1.9
Deportivo Riestra
0.7
Most Likely Scores

1:0

17%

0:0

17%

1:1

14%

2:0

11%

0:1

8%
What influences the xG?
HURDR

Huracán

4 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (0.8 goals/match)
-0.16
3 clean sheets in last 5 matches
-0.15
Declining form (1 vs 1.3 season average)
-0.10
Standings advantage (pos 7 vs 15, 8 places gap)
+0.05
Jordy Caicedo not in squad (11 goals, 0 assists)
Leonardo Gil not in squad (1 goals, 2 assists)
Emmanuel Ojeda not in squad (0 goals, 2 assists)
67% of goal output missing (only 46% available)

Deportivo Riestra

Attack weakness (0.69x league average)
-0.31
3 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1.2 goals/match)
+0.15
Rising form (1.2 vs 0.7 season average)
+0.15
Standings disadvantage (pos 15 vs 7, 8 places gap)
-0.06
Antony Alonso on the bench (4 goals, 1 assists)
50% of goal output missing (only 49% available)

League

Low-scoring league (2.1 goals/match)
-0.43
-0.43
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    Deportivo Riestra with Yonatan Goitía: 1.3 goals/game. Without: 0 goals/game (6 of 8 games)

  • 2
    Huracán with Thaiel Peralta: 0.2 goals/game. Without: 1.5 goals/game (4 of 8 games)

  • 3
    Huracán: 69% of xG value comes in the second half (last 8 games with xG data)

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

48%

Draw

33%

Away Win

19%

Goals

Over 1.5

58%

Under 1.5

42%

Over 2.5

29%

Under 2.5

71%

Over 3.5

12%

Under 3.5

88%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

81%

Away or Draw

52%

No Draw

67%

Both Score

Yes

36%

No

64%

Key Factors
  • Only 47% of Huracán's usual goal danger is available without Jordy Caicedo, Leonardo Gil, and Emmanuel Ojeda
  • Only 49% of Deportivo Riestra's usual goal danger is available without Antony Alonso
  • Huracán recently dominant with an average of 60.4% possession, while Deportivo Riestra averaged an extremely counter-oriented 32% possession
Risk Factors
  • Huracán's goal production is stalling recently, averaging 1.0 goals compared to the season average of 1.3
  • Deportivo Riestra concedes a highly vulnerable average of 3.0 goals in away games
  • The historical goal average at Estadio Tomás Adolfo Ducó is very low, with an average of 1.6 goals
Overview

Huracán (7th place, 22 points) hosts Deportivo Riestra (15th place, 11 points) at the Estadio Tomás Adolfo Ducó

Liga Profesional de Fútbol match on August 23, 2026, 2:00 AM

The hosts aim to solidify their position in the upper mid-table

Form

Huracán shows the form WLDWL

Most recently they lost against Sarmiento

Two wins, one draw, and two losses in the last five games

Deportivo Riestra has the form WLLWL

Most recently they lost against Newell's Old Boys

Two wins and three losses from the last five matches

(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

Statistics

Huracán scores an average of 1.04 goals and concedes 0.87 goals per game

At home, their average is 1.0 goals scored and 0.67 conceded

Deportivo Riestra averages 0.52 goals scored and 0.81 conceded

In away matches, Deportivo Riestra concedes an average of 3.0 goals

Huracán kept 10 clean sheets this season

Head-to-Head

3 head-to-head matches in total

One win for Huracán, one win for Deportivo Riestra, and one draw

Balanced goal difference of 3:3

The last match ended 0:0 on February 21, 2026

Key Players

Óscar Cortés has recorded 2 goals and 4 assists with an average rating of 6.93

Juan Bisanz has 2 goals and 1 assist with a rating of 6.78

Hugo Nervo scored 1 goal with an average rating of 6.9

Milton Céliz contributes 1 goal with a rating of 7.04

T. González scored 1 goal with an average rating of 6.77

Ignacio Arce shines in goal with an average rating of 7.18

Goalkeepers

Hernán Galíndez played in 22 matches, recording a rating of 6.99

Ignacio Arce appeared 21 times, achieving a rating of 7.18

Huracán kept 10 clean sheets this season

Deportivo Riestra kept 8 clean sheets

Influences

Huracán benefits from a stable defense at Estadio Tomás Adolfo Ducó with only 0.67 goals conceded per home game

The grass pitch offers familiar conditions for the home team

Historically, an average of 1.6 goals are scored per game at this venue

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