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Liga Profesional de FĂștbol

Gimnasia La Plata - Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza

08/22/2026, 07:00 PM

2 : 3
Expected Goals
Gimnasia La Plata
1.4
Total xG
2.3
Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza
0.9
Most Likely Scores

1:1

14%

1:0

13%

0:0

12%

2:0

10%

2:1

9%
What influences the xG?
GLPGYEM

Gimnasia La Plata

Defensive weakness (1.3 conceded vs 1.2 league avg)
+0.10
3 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1.2 goals/match)
+0.01
Alexis Steimbach not in squad (1 goals, 6 assists)

Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza

Defensive weakness (1.2 conceded vs 0.9 league avg)
+0.36
3 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1.2 goals/match)
+0.06
Attack weakness (0.68x league average)
-0.02
Weak away record (0.5 vs 1 goals/match)
Full strength squad available

League

Low-scoring league (2.1 goals/match)
-0.44
-0.44
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza with L. Paredes: 1.5 goals/game. Without: 0.5 goals/game (6 of 8 games)

  • 2
    Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza: 4 wins in 5 games with xG above 1.0 (80% win rate)

  • 3
    Gimnasia La Plata with NicolĂĄs Barros Schelotto: 1.4 goals/game. Without: 0.7 goals/game (5 of 8 games)

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

47%

Draw

31%

Away Win

23%

Goals

Over 1.5

68%

Under 1.5

32%

Over 2.5

40%

Under 2.5

60%

Over 3.5

20%

Under 3.5

80%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

77%

Away or Draw

53%

No Draw

69%

Both Score

Yes

46%

No

54%

Key Factors
  • Mendoza's severe away defensive issues: Conceding an average of 3.2 goals per away game this season
  • La Plata's formidable home defense: Conceding only 0.83 goals per home match with 5 clean sheets
  • Striker in peak form: AgustĂ­n MĂłdica has scored 5 goals in his last 5 matches for Mendoza
Risk Factors
  • Loss of creativity for the hosts: Alexis Steimbach is out, missing 19% of the team's seasonal assists
  • Lack of rest for Mendoza: Playing with only 4 days of recovery since their last official match
Overview

Gimnasia La Plata host Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza

Liga Profesional de FĂștbol match on August 22, 2026, 8:00 PM

6th-placed hosts face 11th-placed Mendoza

Form

Gimnasia La Plata enter the match with a form of LWWWL

Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza display a form of WLWLW

Both teams achieved three wins and two losses over their last five matches

Statistics

La Plata average 1.17 goals scored and only 0.83 conceded at home

Mendoza struggle heavily away from home, conceding an average of 3.2 goals per game

La Plata have secured 5 clean sheets in their 12 home matches so far

Head-to-Head

There has been only one head-to-head encounter between these clubs

Mendoza won that single match 1-0 at home

Key Players

Nacho FernĂĄndez controls the home midfield with a strong season rating of 7.00

AgustĂ­n MĂłdica leads Mendoza's attack with 9 goals this season, scoring 5 in his last 5 appearances

AgustĂ­n Colazo scored 2 goals in his last 3 matches for the home side

Goalkeepers

Nelson InsfrĂĄn has already secured 8 clean sheets for the home team this season

Cesar Rigamonti guards Mendoza's goal with a reliable 7.07 season rating

Influences

The match will be played at Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo on grass

La Plata benefit from a highly stable defensive setup in front of their home fans

Venue history suggests a low-scoring game with an average of 1.8 goals per match

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