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Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Lanús - Argentinos Juniors

08/25/2026, 12:15 AM

1 : 1
Expected Goals
Lanús
1.2
Total xG
2.0
Argentinos Juniors
0.8
Most Likely Scores

0:0

15%

1:0

15%

1:1

14%

2:0

10%

0:1

9%
What influences the xG?
LANAJ

Lanús

Attack strength (1.33x league average)
+0.13
Defensive strength (1.2 conceded vs 1.2 league avg)
+0.04
4 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1.2 goals/match)
-0.02
Ramiro Carrera not in squad (2 goals, 4 assists)
Lucas Besozzi on the bench (0 goals, 2 assists)

Argentinos Juniors

3 of last 5 matches with 2+ goals (1.8 goals/match)
+0.11
Rising form (1.8 vs 1.4 season average)
+0.11
Sebastián Prieto not in squad (2 goals, 2 assists)
Defensive strength (0.9 conceded vs 0.9 league avg)
Weak away record (0.9 vs 1.4 goals/match)

League

Low-scoring league (2.1 goals/match)
-0.43
-0.43
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    Argentinos Juniors: first goal in 6 of 8 games (75%)

  • 2
    Lanús with Ronaldo Dejesús: 1 goals/game. Without: 0 goals/game (6 of 8 games)

  • 3
    Lanús: 83% of xG value comes in the second half (last 8 games with xG data)

  • 4
    Lanús: scored only in H2 in 3 consecutive games (4 of 8 total)

  • 5
    Yoshan Valois: 3 of 3 goals after minute 60 (last 8 games)

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

46%

Draw

33%

Away Win

22%

Goals

Over 1.5

62%

Under 1.5

38%

Over 2.5

33%

Under 2.5

67%

Over 3.5

15%

Under 3.5

85%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

78%

Away or Draw

54%

No Draw

67%

Both Score

Yes

40%

No

60%

Key Factors
  • Tactical advantage: Lanús averaged 18.4 shots per game recently, while Argentinos Juniors dominate with an average of 63% possession
  • Squad impact: Lanús must play without Ramiro Carrera (2 goals, 4 assists) and Lucas Besozzi (2 assists)
  • Historical dominance: Argentinos Juniors won all 3 previous head-to-head matches against Lanús with a goal difference of 6-1
Risk Factors
  • Away weakness: Argentinos Juniors concede an average of 1.44 goals per away game compared to only 0.40 at home
  • Low scoring venue: Estadio Ciudad de Lanús averages just 1.2 goals per game with an over 2.5 rate of only 20%
Overview

Lanús host Argentinos Juniors at the Estadio Ciudad de Lanús - Néstor Díaz Pérez

Liga Profesional de Fútbol match on August 25, 2026, 2:15 AM

Lanús currently sit in 6th place with 24 points

Argentinos Juniors arrive in 3rd place with 29 points

A crucial matchup in the upper section of the table

Form

Lanús show inconsistent form with a record of WLLWL

Recently, the home team lost 1-3 against Independiente

Argentinos Juniors arrive with a form of WWWWL

The visitors lost their last match 0-2 against River Plate

Prior to that, they secured four consecutive victories

Statistics

Lanús score an average of 1.09 goals and concede 1.05 goals per match

At home, their defense is more stable with only 0.9 goals conceded on average

Argentinos Juniors score an average of 1.25 goals and concede only 0.79 goals

Away from home, the visitors concede significantly more with 1.44 on average

The visitors have already kept 12 clean sheets this season

Head-to-Head

There are 3 head-to-head matches in the database

Argentinos Juniors dominated all 3 encounters

The goal difference stands at 1-6 against Lanús

The last meeting ended in a 2-0 win for Argentinos Juniors

Key Players

Dylan Aquino has scored 6 goals and provided 2 assists this season

Carlos Izquierdoz impresses in defense with an average rating of 7.1

Felipe Peña Biafore showed rising form recently with 1 goal in the last five games

For the visitors, Tomás Molina is a key attacker with 5 goals and 3 assists

Hernán López Muñoz scored 2 goals in the last 5 games with an overall rating of 6.88

Alan Lescano has contributed 4 goals this season

Goalkeepers

Nahuel Losada guards the Lanús goal with an average rating of 7.02

He has kept 9 clean sheets this season, with 6 of them at home

Brayan Josué Cortés Fernández starts in goal for the visitors with a rating of 6.88

The visiting goalkeeper has recorded 12 clean sheets this season, including 3 away from home

Influences

The match is played on grass at the Estadio Ciudad de Lanús - Néstor Díaz Pérez

The stadium statistics show a low-scoring history with an average of 1.2 goals per game

In 5 home games, there was only one match with over 2.5 goals

Lanús benefit from home advantage with only 9 goals conceded in 10 home matches

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