đŸ‡ŠđŸ‡·

Liga Profesional de FĂștbol

Barracas Central - Platense

08/23/2026, 05:45 PM

1 : 2
Expected Goals
Barracas Central
1.1
Total xG
2.0
Platense
0.9
Most Likely Scores

1:1

15%

0:0

15%

1:0

13%

0:1

10%

2:0

9%
What influences the xG?
BCPLA

Barracas Central

3 clean sheets in last 5 matches
-0.15
5 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (0.6 goals/match)
-0.12
Declining form (0.6 vs 1 season average)
-0.12

Platense

4 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1 goals/match)
+0.02
26% of goal output missing (only 60% available)

League

Low-scoring league (2.1 goals/match)
-0.44
-0.44
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    Platense with TomĂĄs Silva: 1.2 goals/game. Without: 0 goals/game (6 of 8 games)

  • 2
    Platense: scored only after the break in 4 of 8 games

  • 3
    Platense: 73% of xG value comes in the second half (last 8 games with xG data)

  • 4
    Barracas Central with Facundo Bruera: 0.5 goals/game. Without: 1 goals/game (6 of 8 games)

  • 5
    Platense: 3 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 8 games)

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

40%

Draw

34%

Away Win

27%

Goals

Over 1.5

62%

Under 1.5

38%

Over 2.5

33%

Under 2.5

67%

Over 3.5

15%

Under 3.5

85%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

73%

Away or Draw

61%

No Draw

66%

Both Score

Yes

42%

No

58%

Key Factors
  • Matchup advantage: Mathematical analysis favors Barracas Central with a 39.5% win probability
  • Offensive advantage Platense: The visitors averaged 5.2 shots on target in recent matches compared to Barracas' 3.2
  • Form trend: Barracas Central's goal production has slowed down recently, averaging only 0.6 goals compared to their 1.0 season average
Risk Factors
  • Platense squad impact: Only 60% of Platense's seasonal goals share is active due to missing players
  • Low-scoring venue: Estadio Claudio Chiqui Tapia historically averages just 1.6 goals per game
  • Goalkeeper risk Platense: Expected starting goalkeeper NicolĂĄs Sumavil has played 0 matches this season
Overview

Barracas Central host Platense at Estadio Claudio Chiqui Tapia

Liga Profesional de FĂștbol match on August 23, 2026, 6:45 PM

Barracas sit 9th with 21 points while Platense are 12th with 16 points

A mid-table encounter with both teams seeking consistency

Form

Barracas Central enter with a WWWLL form and consecutive losses

Their last match ended in a 0-1 home defeat to Rosario Central

Platense show a DLLWD form after a 1-1 draw against Boca Juniors

Barracas have 3 wins and 2 losses in their last 5, while Platense have 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses

Form code: W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

Statistics

Barracas score an average of 0.83 goals and concede 0.75 at home

Platense score 0.73 goals and concede 0.82 on their travels

Both teams have recorded 7 clean sheets so far this season

Barracas failed to score in 8 matches, compared to Platense's 11 games

Head-to-Head

There have been 2 head-to-head matches between the clubs

Platense won 1 match, with the other finishing as a draw

The last meeting on February 21, 2026, ended in a 1-0 away win for Platense

Barracas Central have not scored a goal against Platense in these duels

Key Players

For Barracas, Marcelo Miño stands out with a 7.34 rating, alongside Tomås Porra who has 1 goal and 4 assists

IvĂĄn Tapia is also crucial in midfield with 1 goal and 2 assists

Platense rely on NicolĂĄs Retamar with 2 goals and Franco Zapiola with 2 goals

TomĂĄs Silva strengthens the visitors' defense with a 6.87 average rating

Goalkeepers

Marcelo Miño guards the net for Barracas with an impressive 7.34 average rating

Platense start NicolĂĄs Sumavil, who has made 0 appearances this season

Both teams have managed 7 clean sheets in their overall league campaigns

Influences

Matches at Estadio Claudio Chiqui Tapia average 1.6 goals per game

Both the Over 2.5 and BTTS rates stand at 40% at this venue

Barracas rely on their solid home defense, conceding just 9 goals in 12 home matches

Ready to Get Started?

Create an account and discover data-driven football analyses. Cancel anytime.