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Liga Profesional de FĂștbol

Racing Club - Boca Juniors

08/24/2026, 12:30 AM

1 : 1
Expected Goals
Racing Club
0.9
Total xG
2.1
Boca Juniors
1.2
Most Likely Scores

1:1

15%

0:0

14%

0:1

13%

1:0

9%

0:2

9%
What influences the xG?
RCBJ

Racing Club

4 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (0.8 goals/match)
-0.12
Standings disadvantage (pos 8 vs 2, 6 places gap)
-0.06
37% of goal output missing (only 57% available)

Boca Juniors

Attack strength (1.65x league average)
+0.39
4 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1 goals/match)
-0.14
Declining form (1 vs 1.4 season average)
-0.14
Defensive strength (1 conceded vs 0.9 league avg)
+0.05
Standings advantage (pos 2 vs 8, 6 places gap)
+0.04
Leandro Paredes not in squad (2 goals, 3 assists)

League

Low-scoring league (2.1 goals/match)
-0.43
-0.43
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    Boca Juniors: 5 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 8 games)

  • 2
    Boca Juniors with Lautaro Di Lollo: 1.2 goals/game. Without: 3 goals/game (6 of 8 games)

  • 3
    Racing Club with MatĂ­as Zaracho: 1.2 goals/game. Without: 0.5 goals/game (6 of 8 games)

  • 4
    Boca Juniors: 46% of all goals between minutes 76-90 (6 of 13)

  • 5
    Boca Juniors: 5 of 8 games without conceding in H1, but only 2 over 90 minutes

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

26%

Draw

33%

Away Win

41%

Goals

Over 1.5

64%

Under 1.5

36%

Over 2.5

35%

Under 2.5

65%

Over 3.5

16%

Under 3.5

84%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

59%

Away or Draw

74%

No Draw

67%

Both Score

Yes

44%

No

56%

Key Factors
  • Boca Juniors travels as the favorite with a calculated 41% win probability and 1.21 expected goals
  • Boca Juniors recently averaged a dominant 65.4% possession and 4.4 shots on target per game
  • Historical advantage for Racing Club with 3 wins from the last 5 direct duels and no defeats
Risk Factors
  • Critical squad situation for Racing Club with only 58% of their usual starting strength available
  • Boca Juniors has to play without Leandro Paredes who contributed 2 goals and 3 assists
  • Racing Club is struggling defensively, conceding an average of 1.75 goals in recent matches
Overview

Racing Club hosts Boca Juniors

Match at the Estadio Presidente Juan Domingo PerĂłn

Liga Profesional de FĂștbol match on August 24, 2026, 12:30 AM

Racing Club is in 8th place with 21 points

Boca Juniors is in 2nd place with 30 points

Form

Racing Club form: WDLLL

Boca Juniors form: LDWDD

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

Racing Club has lost their last three matches

Boca Juniors recorded two consecutive draws recently

Statistics

Racing Club averages 1.00 goals scored and 1.04 goals conceded per season

At home, Racing Club averages 1.00 goals scored and 1.20 goals conceded

Boca Juniors scores 1.31 goals and concedes 0.92 goals on average away

Both teams saw their goal scoring stall recently at an average of 1.00 goals

Head-to-Head

5 head-to-head matches in the database

Racing Club achieved 3 wins, Boca Juniors 0

Two games ended in a draw

The last meeting on February 20, 2026, ended 0:0

Key Players

Matko Miljevic has 1 goal and 1 assist this season with a 6.99 rating

GastĂłn Lodico provided 2 assists in his recent appearances

TomĂĄs Conechny has scored 3 goals and provided 2 assists

Santiago AscacĂ­bar scored 3 goals and gave 1 assist in his last 5 games

Miguel Merentiel has 6 goals this season

TomĂĄs Aranda contributed 1 goal and 3 assists so far

Goalkeepers

Facundo Cambeses achieved 8 clean sheets this season

Álvaro Montero holds an average rating of 6.96

Boca Juniors has 10 clean sheets overall

Influences

The match is played on grass

Racing Club scored 10 goals and conceded 12 in their home games

Matches at the Estadio Presidente Juan Domingo PerĂłn averaged 2.0 goals per game recently

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