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Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Aldosivi - Unión Santa Fe

08/21/2026, 05:30 PM

1 : 3
Expected Goals
Aldosivi
1.0
Total xG
2.1
Unión Santa Fe
1.1
Most Likely Scores

1:1

15%

0:0

14%

0:1

12%

1:0

10%

0:2

8%
What influences the xG?
ALDUSF

Aldosivi

Attack weakness (0.77x league average)
-0.15
Standings disadvantage (pos 14 vs 8, 6 places gap)
-0.06
Rising form (0.8 vs 0.6 season average)
+0.06
5 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (0.6 goals/match)
+0.01
Nicolás Cordero on the bench (2 goals, 1 assists)
Tomás Fernández not in squad (1 goals, 1 assists)
33% of goal output missing (only 38% available)
Strong home record (0.8 vs 0.6 goals/match)

Unión Santa Fe

3 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1 goals/match)
-0.14
Declining form (1 vs 1.5 season average)
-0.14
Standings advantage (pos 8 vs 14, 6 places gap)
+0.03
Lautaro Vargas not in squad (0 goals, 2 assists)
Weak away record (1.1 vs 1.5 goals/match)

League

Low-scoring league (2.1 goals/match)
-0.43
-0.43
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    Aldosivi with Rodrigo González: 1 goals/game. Without: 0 goals/game (6 of 8 games)

  • 2
    Unión Santa Fe: 5 of 8 games without conceding in H1, but only 0 over 90 minutes

  • 3
    Aldosivi: scored only after the break in 3 of 8 games

  • 4
    Unión Santa Fe: scored only after the break in 3 of 8 games

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

30%

Draw

33%

Away Win

37%

Goals

Over 1.5

64%

Under 1.5

36%

Over 2.5

35%

Under 2.5

65%

Over 3.5

16%

Under 3.5

84%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

63%

Away or Draw

70%

No Draw

67%

Both Score

Yes

44%

No

56%

Key Factors
  • Critical squad impact: Aldosivi only has 38% of its usual goal threat available, without Nicolás Cordero and Tomás Fernández
  • Tactical profile: Aldosivi recently averaged 40% possession and 3.4 shots on target in their matches
  • Low-scoring venue: The stadium has a very low historic average of 1.4 goals per game
Risk Factors
  • Attacking weakness: Aldosivi has already failed to score in 12 matches this season
  • Away defensive issues: Unión Santa Fe concedes an average of 1.77 goals per away match
Overview

Aldosivi (14th place, 8 points) host Unión Santa Fe (8th place, 21 points)

Liga Profesional de Fútbol on August 21, 2026, 7:30 PM

Match played at Estadio José María Minella

Great pressure on the home side

Form

Aldosivi form: DLLLD with 0 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses

Unión Santa Fe form: DLWLL with 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

Statistics

Aldosivi averages 0.43 goals scored and 1.19 goals conceded per match

At home Aldosivi concedes only 0.78 goals on average

Unión Santa Fe scores 1.35 and concedes 1.35 goals on average

Away from home Unión Santa Fe concedes 1.77 goals per game

Head-to-Head

3 head-to-head matches

Aldosivi with 2 wins and Unión Santa Fe with 1 win

Last match ended 1-0 for Unión Santa Fe on February 23, 2026

Key Players

Alan Sosa has a rising form trend in recent matches

Cristian Tarragona leads the visitors with 9 goals and 1 assist

Julián Palacios stands out with 3 goals and 8 assists

Goalkeepers

Lucas Acosta plays for Aldosivi with an average rating of 6.52

Matías Mansilla guards the goal for Unión Santa Fe with a rating of 6.86

Both teams kept 5 clean sheets this season

Influences

Played on grass at Estadio José María Minella

The venue features a low average of 1.4 goals per game

Aldosivi shows better defensive stability at home than away

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