Liga Profesional de FĂștbol
Independiente - Independiente Rivadavia
08/22/2026, 09:30 PM
Expected Goals
1.1
2.2
1.1
1:1
15%0:0
12%0:1
10%1:0
10%1:2
8%What influences the xG?
Independiente
Independiente Rivadavia
League
The Lab
- 1Independiente Rivadavia with IvĂĄn Villalba: 0.8 goals/game. Without: 3.5 goals/game (6 of 8 games)
- 2Independiente: 6 of 8 games without conceding in H1, but only 2 over 90 minutes
- 3Independiente Rivadavia: 3 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 8 games)
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
33%
Draw
32%
Away Win
35%
Goals
Over 1.5
67%
Under 1.5
33%
Over 2.5
39%
Under 2.5
61%
Over 3.5
19%
Under 3.5
81%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
65%
Away or Draw
67%
No Draw
68%
Both Score
Yes
47%
No
53%
Key Factors
- Balanced mathematical predictions with a 33% home win and a 35% away win probability
- Independiente Rivadavia recently dominated possession with an average of 56.2% and averaged 4.4 shots on target
- Independiente's strong home defense with only 0.91 goals conceded per home game meets a highly productive away attack averaging 1.57 goals
Risk Factors
- According to data analysis, both teams' goal production has recently stalled compared to their season averages
- Independiente Rivadavia play with only 78% of their usual starting lineup strength, missing the injured or non-selected Fabrizio Sartori and Alejo Osella
Overview
Independiente host Independiente Rivadavia
Liga Profesional de FĂștbol match on August 22, 2026, 11:30 PM
Table leaders Independiente Rivadavia with 34 points travel to fifth-placed Independiente with 24 points
A crucial clash in the upper half of the table
Form
Independiente show a form of WWLLW with 3 wins and 2 losses
Most recently they secured a 3-1 win against LanĂșs
Independiente Rivadavia show a form of DWLWL with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses
Most recently they suffered a 0-2 defeat against Belgrano
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Statistics
Independiente score an average of 1.41 goals and concede 1.18 goals per game this season
In home matches their average is 1.45 goals scored and 0.91 conceded
Independiente Rivadavia score an average of 1.59 goals and concede 1.05 goals
On the road the visitors score an average of 1.57 goals while conceding 1.29
Independiente's home record shows 4 clean sheets
Head-to-Head
There have been 3 head-to-head matches
Independiente Rivadavia lead the record with 2 wins to 0 wins and 1 draw
The last encounter on February 21, 2026, ended 3-2 in favor of Independiente Rivadavia
The overall goals stand at 5-3 in favor of Independiente Rivadavia
Key Players
Gabriel Ăvalos scored 11 goals and provided 5 assists in 22 matches with an average rating of 7.34
Santiago Montiel scored 2 goals and recorded 2 assists in his last 5 matches with a rating of 7.71
Lautaro MillĂĄn scored 2 goals in his last 3 matches
Ălex Arce scored 3 goals in his last 5 games with a rating of 7.46
MatĂas FernĂĄndez scored 1 goal and made 3 assists in his last 4 games with a rating of 7.43
JosĂ© FlorentĂn recorded 4 goals in 21 appearances with a rating of 7.13
Goalkeepers
Rodrigo Rey is in goal for Independiente, recording 6 clean sheets and a season average rating of 6.82
NicolĂĄs Bolcato guards the net for Independiente Rivadavia with 5 clean sheets and a rating of 6.81
Influences
The match will be played on natural grass at the Estadio Libertadores de América
Independiente's home record shows a solid output with 16 goals scored in 11 matches in front of their home crowd
In the 5 home games played so far, there has been an average of 2.0 goals per match