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Liga Profesional de FĂștbol

Defensa y Justicia - Platense

08/31/2026, 10:00 PM

1 : 0
Expected Goals
Defensa y Justicia
1.2
Total xG
2.5
Platense
1.2
Most Likely Scores

1:1

15%

0:0

10%

1:0

9%

0:1

9%

2:1

8%
What influences the xG?
DYJPLA

Defensa y Justicia

3 of last 5 matches with 2+ goals (1.4 goals/match)
+0.01

Platense

Attack strength (1.43x league average)
+0.49
Franco Zapiola on the bench (2 goals, 1 assists)
21% of goal output missing (only 74% available)
4 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1 goals/match)

League

Low-scoring league (2.1 goals/match)
-0.41
-0.41
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    Platense: scored only in H2 in 3 consecutive games (5 of 12 total)

  • 2
    Platense: 4 of 11 goals scored by substitutes (last 12 games)

  • 3
    Platense: 4 goals from minute 80 onwards in the last 12 games (4 of 10 total)

  • 4
    Platense: dropped a lead in 3 of 5 games (7 points lost)

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

36%

Draw

31%

Away Win

34%

Goals

Over 1.5

72%

Under 1.5

28%

Over 2.5

45%

Under 2.5

55%

Over 3.5

23%

Under 3.5

77%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

66%

Away or Draw

64%

No Draw

69%

Both Score

Yes

52%

No

48%

Key Factors
  • Franco Zapiola is not nominated for Platense, reducing the visitors' offensive strength
  • Defensa y Justicia averaged 6.0 shots on target in recent matches
  • The model predicts a tight match with expected goals of 1.25 for the home side and 1.21 for the visitors
Risk Factors
  • Platense scores an average of only 0.77 goals per game this season
  • Defensa y Justicia concedes an average of 1.32 goals per match
  • Restricted data availability regarding total duels in the last 5 games
Overview

Defensa y Justicia host Platense

Liga Profesional de FĂștbol match on August 31, 2026, 10:00 PM

Defensa y Justicia are in 10th place with 19 points

Platense occupy 12th place with 16 points

Form

Defensa y Justicia form: WLWDW

The home side recently recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss

Platense form: LLWDW

The away side recently recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses

Statistics

Defensa y Justicia scored an average of 1.18 goals and conceded 1.32 goals this season

Platense scored an average of 0.77 goals and conceded 1.14 goals

Defensa y Justicia average 1.2 goals scored and 1.3 goals conceded in home games

Head-to-Head

There have been 4 head-to-head matches

Platense won 2 matches, Defensa y Justicia won 1, with 1 draw

The last encounter on February 24, 2026, ended in a 0:0 draw

Key Players

Juan Gutiérrez scored 4 goals and provided 5 assists this season

David Barbona holds an average rating of 6.94 with 3 goals scored

Leandro FernĂĄndez registered 1 goal and 1 assist

NicolĂĄs Retamar leads Platense with 3 goals and 2 assists

Ignacio VĂĄzquez stands out with an average rating of 7.00

Guido Mainero scored 1 goal this season

Goalkeepers

MatĂ­as Borgogno played 6 games this season with a rating of 6.99

Juan Pablo Cozzani played 5 games with a rating of 6.84

Defensa y Justicia kept 5 clean sheets this season, while Platense kept 7

Influences

The match takes place at Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello on grass

Venue history shows an average of 3.0 goals per game and an 80% BTTS rate

Platense average 0.77 goals scored and 0.77 goals conceded in away games

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