đŸ‡ŠđŸ‡·

Liga Profesional de FĂștbol

Tigre - Barracas Central

09/01/2026, 12:15 AM

0 : 0
Expected Goals
Tigre
1.2
Total xG
1.9
Barracas Central
0.7
Most Likely Scores

0:0

17%

1:0

16%

1:1

14%

2:0

11%

0:1

9%
What influences the xG?
TIGBC

Tigre

Rising form (2 vs 1.3 season average)
+0.20
3 clean sheets in last 5 matches
-0.15
3 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1.2 goals/match)
-0.04
Gonzalo MartĂ­nez not in squad (3 goals, 1 assists)
14% of goal output missing (only 93% available)

Barracas Central

Attack weakness (0.67x league average)
-0.32
5 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (0.6 goals/match)
-0.12
Declining form (0.6 vs 1 season average)
-0.12
Rodrigo InsĂșa on the bench (3 goals, 1 assists)
25% of goal output missing (only 82% available)
Weak away record (0.5 vs 1 goals/match)

League

Low-scoring league (2.1 goals/match)
-0.41
-0.41
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    Barracas Central: 44% of all goals between minutes 16-30 (4 of 9)

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

46%

Draw

34%

Away Win

20%

Goals

Over 1.5

58%

Under 1.5

42%

Over 2.5

30%

Under 2.5

70%

Over 3.5

13%

Under 3.5

87%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

80%

Away or Draw

54%

No Draw

66%

Both Score

Yes

37%

No

63%

Key Factors
  • Form contrast: Tigre are unbeaten in 5 matches (WDWDW) while Barracas Central suffered 3 consecutive defeats
  • Offensive upswing: Tigre are currently scoring more frequently (2.0) than their season average (1.3) according to advanced stats
  • Reduced visitor goal threat: Without the unselected Rodrigo InsĂșa, Barracas Central miss key offensive contributions (3 goals, 1 assist)
Risk Factors
  • Historical H2H disadvantage: Tigre have failed to win any of the previous 4 encounters against Barracas Central
  • Few offensive actions expected: Tigre averaged only 3.2 shots on target per match in recent games
  • Low scoring probability: The mathematical model estimates the probability of over 2.5 goals at just 30%
Overview

Tigre host Barracas Central at the Estadio José Dellagiovanna

Liga Profesional de FĂștbol match on September 1, 2026, 2:15 AM

Mid-table clash between 10th and 9th place

Only one point separates the two sides in the standings

Form

Tigre are unbeaten in 5 matches with a form of WDWDW

Last match ended in a 2-1 home win against Central Cordoba SdE

Barracas Central show a declining trend with WWLLL form

The visitors travel after 3 consecutive defeats

Statistics

Tigre average 1.09 goals scored and 0.82 goals conceded this season

In 13 home games Tigre conceded only 9 goals (0.69 per game)

Barracas Central score 0.86 goals per game while conceding 0.91

Both Tigre and Barracas Central kept 7 clean sheets this season

Head-to-Head

There have been 4 head-to-head matches so far

Barracas Central won 2 games while 2 ended in a draw

Tigre are still waiting for their first win in this matchup

The last encounter ended 2-1 in favor of Barracas Central

Key Players

Ignacio Russo scored 6 goals and 3 assists with a 7.08 rating

Alan Barrionuevo leads the defense with a season rating of 7.18

TomĂĄs Porra contributed 1 goal and 4 assists so far

Goalkeepers

Felipe Zenobio stands at a season average of 6.88

Marcelo Miño has a strong rating of 7.34

Both goalkeepers have recorded 7 clean sheets this season

Influences

Home advantage for Tigre at the Estadio José Dellagiovanna on grass

Historical venue stats show an average of 1.6 goals per match

In 5 home games there were 2 matches with both teams scoring

Ready to Get Started?

Create an account and discover data-driven football analyses. Cancel anytime.