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Liga Profesional de FĂștbol

Aldosivi - Banfield

09/05/2026, 04:30 PM

3 : 1
Expected Goals
Aldosivi
1.1
Total xG
2.2
Banfield
1.1
Most Likely Scores

1:1

15%

0:0

13%

0:1

11%

1:0

11%

1:2

7%
What influences the xG?
ALDBAN

Aldosivi

Rising form (1 vs 0.6 season average)
+0.12
Attack weakness (0.72x league average)
-0.11
5 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (0.8 goals/match)
+0.06
Strong home record (0.8 vs 0.6 goals/match)

Banfield

Defensive weakness (1.4 conceded vs 0.9 league avg)
+0.47
4 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (0.8 goals/match)
-0.10
Weak away record (0.9 vs 1.1 goals/match)

League

Low-scoring league (2.1 goals/match)
-0.42
-0.42
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    Aldosivi: dropped a lead in 6 of 6 games (15 points lost)

  • 2
    Banfield: 5 of 12 goals scored by substitutes (last 12 games)

  • 3
    Banfield: 5 goals from minute 80 onwards in the last 12 games (5 of 12 total)

  • 4
    Banfield: opponent scores first in 7 of 10 games (70%)

  • 5
    Aldosivi: 3.1 cards per game (36 yellows, 1 reds in 12 games)

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

33%

Draw

33%

Away Win

34%

Goals

Over 1.5

65%

Under 1.5

35%

Over 2.5

36%

Under 2.5

64%

Over 3.5

17%

Under 3.5

83%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

66%

Away or Draw

67%

No Draw

67%

Both Score

Yes

45%

No

55%

Key Factors
  • Balanced favorite role: The model calculates a 33% probability for a draw and 35% for a Banfield win
  • Defensive approach: Both teams recently played counter-oriented football, averaging under 40% possession
  • Offensive improvement: Aldosivi currently scores more frequently with 1.0 goals per game compared to their season average of 0.6
Risk Factors
  • Low scoring match: The probability for over 2.5 goals is calculated at only 37%
  • Vulnerable away defense: Banfield concedes an average of 1.78 goals per away game
Overview

Aldosivi hosts Banfield at the Estadio José María Minella

Liga Profesional de FĂștbol match on September 5, 2026, 4:30 PM

A lower-table clash between the 14th-placed hosts and 12th-placed visitors

Form

Aldosivi is in poor form with LLDLL

No wins in their last 5 matches, recording 1 draw and 4 losses

Banfield enters with a form of DLWLL

The visitors registered 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in their recent matches

Statistics

Aldosivi scores an average of 0.48 goals per game this season

Their home record shows 5 goals scored and 10 conceded in 10 matches

Banfield averages 1.04 goals scored and 1.26 goals conceded per match

Away from home, Banfield concedes an average of 1.78 goals per game

Head-to-Head

3 head-to-head matches recorded

Aldosivi secured 2 wins, while Banfield won 1 match

The last direct meeting ended in a 2-0 win for Banfield on March 3, 2026

An even goal difference of 3-3 in their historical meetings

Key Players

Andrés Vombergar scored 2 goals in 6 appearances with a rating of 7.04

NicolĂĄs Zalazar stabilizes the defense with an average rating of 7.05

NicolĂĄs GaitĂĄn contributed 1 goal in 5 appearances

Santiago LĂłpez GarcĂ­a recorded 2 goals and 4 assists in 23 matches

TomĂĄs AdoryĂĄn impresses in midfield with 2 assists and a rating of 6.96

Ignacio Abraham has already provided 4 assists this season

Goalkeepers

Lucas Acosta guards the goal for the home team with a rating of 6.62

Aldosivi has recorded 5 clean sheets so far this season

Diego RodrĂ­guez starts in goal for the visitors

Banfield has secured a total of 6 clean sheets in the current campaign

Influences

The match will be played on natural grass at the Estadio José María Minella

The stadium averages 2.2 goals per game

Both teams scored in 4 out of 5 home matches at this venue

Historical home records indicate a potential draw risk

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