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Liga Profesional de FĂștbol

Platense - Deportivo Riestra

09/04/2026, 10:00 PM

1 : 1
Expected Goals
Platense
0.9
Total xG
1.9
Deportivo Riestra
1.0
Most Likely Scores

0:0

16%

1:1

15%

0:1

13%

1:0

11%

0:2

7%
What influences the xG?
PLADR

Platense

Defensive weakness (1.4 conceded vs 1.2 league avg)
+0.27
4 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (0.8 goals/match)
-0.04
11% of goal output missing (only 76% available)

Deportivo Riestra

Defensive strength (1.1 conceded vs 0.9 league avg)
+0.16
4 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (0.6 goals/match)
-0.03
Antony Alonso on the bench (4 goals, 1 assists)
18% of goal output missing (only 77% available)

League

Low-scoring league (2.1 goals/match)
-0.43
-0.43
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    Platense: scored only in H2 in 3 consecutive games (5 of 12 total)

  • 2
    Platense: 4 of 11 goals scored by substitutes (last 12 games)

  • 3
    Platense: 4 goals from minute 80 onwards in the last 12 games (4 of 10 total)

  • 4
    Platense: dropped a lead in 3 of 5 games (7 points lost)

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

30%

Draw

35%

Away Win

35%

Goals

Over 1.5

59%

Under 1.5

41%

Over 2.5

31%

Under 2.5

69%

Over 3.5

13%

Under 3.5

87%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

65%

Away or Draw

70%

No Draw

65%

Both Score

Yes

40%

No

60%

Key Factors
  • Low-scoring tendency: The mathematical model estimates the probability for over 2.5 goals at only 31%
  • Away defense struggle: Deportivo Riestra concedes an average of 3.0 goals per away match
  • Tactical shooting: Platense averaged 5.6 shots on target in recent matches compared to Riestra's 3.2
Risk Factors
  • Platense's scoring drought: The home team failed to score in 12 out of 23 matches this season
  • Historical disadvantage: Platense is still waiting for their first victory against Deportivo Riestra after 4 head-to-head matches
  • Riestra's offensive loss: The absence of Antony Alonso (4 goals this season) weakens the visitors' attacking threat
Overview

Platense host Deportivo Riestra at the Estadio Ciudad de Vicente LĂłpez

Liga Profesional de FĂștbol match on September 4, 2026, 10:00 PM

Platense sits in 13th place with 16 points, while Deportivo Riestra is in 15th place with 11 points

Both teams are desperate for points in the lower tier of the table

Form

Platense shows a form of LWDWL in their last five matches

They suffered a narrow 0-1 defeat against Defensa y Justicia in their last outing

Deportivo Riestra enters with a form of LWLDD

Two consecutive draws have provided some stability for the visitors

Statistics

Platense averages 0.74 goals scored and 1.13 goals conceded per game

Deportivo Riestra records 0.52 goals scored and 0.78 goals conceded on average

The visitors struggle heavily on the road, conceding 3 goals per away match

Head-to-Head

Across 4 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Riestra has 1 win and there have been 3 draws

The last direct duel on March 2, 2026, ended in a 0-0 draw

Deportivo Riestra has scored 2 goals in this matchup compared to Platense's 1

Key Players

NicolĂĄs Retamar leads Platense's attack with 3 goals this season and stable form

Franco Zapiola impresses in midfield with an average rating of 7.05

Deportivo Riestra's T. GonzĂĄlez has scored 2 goals this season, including 1 in the last 5 games

Not nominated for the visitors is Antony Alonso with 4 goals and 1 assist

Goalkeepers

Juan Pablo Cozzani played 6 games for Platense with an average rating of 6.8

Ignacio Arce played 23 games for Deportivo Riestra, maintaining a strong rating of 7.21

Platense secured 7 clean sheets this season, while Riestra achieved 9 clean sheets

Influences

Home advantage could favor Platense at the Estadio Ciudad de Vicente LĂłpez

Historical matches at this venue average 2.6 goals per game

The grass pitch offers standard conditions for the home side

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