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Liga Profesional de Fútbol

San Lorenzo - Talleres Córdoba

09/05/2026, 10:00 PM

1 : 0
Expected Goals
San Lorenzo
1.3
Total xG
2.4
Talleres Córdoba
1.1
Most Likely Scores

1:1

15%

0:0

11%

1:0

10%

2:1

9%

0:1

8%
What influences the xG?
SLTC

San Lorenzo

5 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (0.2 goals/match)
-0.23
Declining form (0.2 vs 1 season average)
-0.21
Defensive weakness (1.1 conceded vs 1.2 league avg)
-0.07
Strong home record (1.2 vs 1 goals/match)
Full strength squad available

Talleres Córdoba

Rising form (1.8 vs 1.2 season average)
+0.15
3 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1.4 goals/match)
+0.04
Alexandro Maidana on the bench (2 goals, 1 assists)
Timoteo Chamorro on the bench (0 goals, 2 assists)
10% of goal output missing (only 92% available)
Weak away record (1 vs 1.2 goals/match)

League

Low-scoring league (2.1 goals/match)
-0.41
-0.41
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    Talleres Córdoba: 3 cards per game (32 yellows, 4 reds in 12 games)

  • 2
    Talleres Córdoba: 6 of 15 goals conceded from minute 76 onwards (last 12 games)

  • 3
    San Lorenzo: 2.8 cards per game (30 yellows, 3 reds in 12 games)

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

40%

Draw

31%

Away Win

29%

Goals

Over 1.5

71%

Under 1.5

29%

Over 2.5

43%

Under 2.5

57%

Over 3.5

22%

Under 3.5

78%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

71%

Away or Draw

60%

No Draw

69%

Both Score

Yes

50%

No

50%

Key Factors
  • Talleres Córdoba averaged 5.4 shots on target in recent matches, showing high offensive activity
  • Historical advantage for San Lorenzo with 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-head matches and no defeats
  • The mathematical model predicts a home win probability of 40% for San Lorenzo
Risk Factors
  • San Lorenzo's goal production is struggling severely, averaging just 0.25 goals per game in recent matches
  • The injury absence of defender G. Hernández weakens the stability of the home team
  • San Lorenzo enters the match with only 4 days of rest, giving them less recovery time than the visitors
Overview

San Lorenzo (7th place, 22 points) host Talleres Córdoba (4th place, 26 points) at the Estadio Pedro Bidegain

Liga Profesional de Fútbol match on September 5, 2026, 11:00 PM

Both teams compete for crucial points in the upper third of the table

Form

San Lorenzo shows poor form with the record LLWDL

Most recently they suffered a 0-1 defeat against Instituto

Talleres Córdoba enters with the form WLLDD

The visitors secured a 0-0 draw against Central Cordoba SdE in their last match

(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

Statistics

San Lorenzo scores an average of 0.75 goals per game this season

Their defense is stable, conceding only 0.88 goals on average

Talleres Córdoba scores an average of 1.08 goals per away match

The visitors concede exactly 1.00 goals on average when playing away

Head-to-Head

There have been 4 head-to-head matches between the teams

San Lorenzo dominates the history with 3 wins and 1 draw

The goal ratio stands at 5-1 in favor of the home team

The last encounter on March 1, 2026, ended in a goalless 0-0 draw

Key Players

Alexis Cuello (4 goals, 3 assists) and Rodrigo Auzmendi (6 goals) lead the home team's attack

Nicolás Tripichio stabilizes the midfield with an average rating of 6.97

For the visitors, Rick stands out with 4 goals and 2 assists this season

Valentín Depietri (3 goals, 1 assist) and Ezequiel Unsain (rating of 7.51) are crucial pillars

Goalkeepers

José Devecchi guards the home team's goal with a rating of 6.66

His team has recorded 12 clean sheets so far this season

On the other side, Ezequiel Unsain plays in goal with a strong rating of 7.51

The visitors have managed 8 clean sheets during this campaign

Influences

The Estadio Pedro Bidegain is known for low-scoring matches with an average of just 1.4 goals per game

Both teams scored in only 20% of the matches played there

San Lorenzo secured 6 clean sheets at home

Talleres Córdoba recorded 4 clean sheets on their travels

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