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Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Racing Club - Atlético Tucumán

09/07/2026, 12:30 AM

1 : 2
Expected Goals
Racing Club
1.1
Total xG
1.9
Atlético Tucumán
0.8
Most Likely Scores

0:0

16%

1:1

15%

1:0

14%

0:1

10%

2:0

9%
What influences the xG?
RCAT

Racing Club

5 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (0.8 goals/match)
-0.12
Declining form (0.8 vs 1.2 season average)
-0.12
Standings advantage (pos 7 vs 13, 6 places gap)
+0.03
Full strength squad available

Atlético Tucumán

Defensive strength (1.3 conceded vs 0.9 league avg)
+0.39
5 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (0.4 goals/match)
-0.22
4 clean sheets in last 5 matches
-0.15
Standings disadvantage (pos 13 vs 7, 6 places gap)
-0.05
Full strength squad available

League

Low-scoring league (2.1 goals/match)
-0.42
-0.42
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    Racing Club: 3.3 cards per game (35 yellows, 5 reds in 12 games)

  • 2
    Racing Club: dropped a lead in 4 of 5 games (10 points lost)

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

40%

Draw

35%

Away Win

26%

Goals

Over 1.5

59%

Under 1.5

41%

Over 2.5

31%

Under 2.5

69%

Over 3.5

13%

Under 3.5

87%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

74%

Away or Draw

60%

No Draw

65%

Both Score

Yes

40%

No

60%

Key Factors
  • Tactical dominance: Racing Club recently controlled play with an average of 57% possession
  • Form stability for visitors: Atlético Tucumán lost only one of their last 5 games (Form: DLWDD) while Racing Club suffered four defeats (Form: LLLDL)
  • Home advantage and model outlook: The model calculates a 74% probability for a home win or draw (Double Chance 1X)
Risk Factors
  • Racing Club's goalscoring has stalled recently, averaging 0.8 goals compared to their season average of 1.2
  • Atlético Tucumán averaged only 3.2 shots on target in recent matches
  • Injury blow in defense for Atlético Tucumán with the absence of G. Suso
Overview

Racing Club host Atlético Tucumán

Estadio Presidente Juan Domingo Perón on September 7, 2026, 2:30 AM

Matchup between the 7th and 13th placed teams in the Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Racing Club sits in 7th place with 20 points

Atlético Tucumán occupies 13th place with 13 points

Form

Racing Club is in poor form with four losses in the last five games

Racing Club's form: LLLDL (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

Atlético Tucumán shows a more stable trend

Atlético Tucumán's form: DLWDD

Statistics

Racing Club averages 1.0 goals scored and 1.12 goals conceded per game this season

At home, Racing averages 1.0 goals scored and 1.18 goals conceded

Atlético Tucumán scores an average of 0.83 goals and concedes 0.96 per match

Away from home, Atlético Tucumán averages 0.83 goals scored and 1.17 conceded

Head-to-Head

There have been 2 head-to-head matches

Both teams have recorded 1 win each

The last head-to-head match ended in a 3:0 win

Key Players

Tomás Conechny has scored 3 goals and provided 2 assists this season

Adrián Martínez contributed 4 goals and 1 assist

Matko Miljevic has recorded 2 goals and 1 assist so far

Leandro Díaz is the top threat with 7 goals and 1 assist

Clever Ferreira scored 2 goals and registered 1 assist this season

Luciano Andrés Vallejo has scored 1 goal so far

Goalkeepers

Facundo Cambeses has kept 8 clean sheets this season

Luis Ingolotti has recorded 11 clean sheets so far

Influences

The match will be played on grass at the Estadio Presidente Juan Domingo Perón

The venue averages 2.2 goals per game historically

Both teams scored in 60% of the matches at this stadium

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