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Liga Profesional de FĂștbol

Barracas Central - Argentinos Juniors

09/07/2026, 10:00 PM

0 : 0
Expected Goals
Barracas Central
1.0
Total xG
2.1
Argentinos Juniors
1.1
Most Likely Scores

1:1

15%

0:0

14%

0:1

11%

1:0

10%

1:2

7%
What influences the xG?
BCAJ

Barracas Central

5 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (0.4 goals/match)
-0.18
Declining form (0.5 vs 1 season average)
-0.15
Defensive weakness (1 conceded vs 1.2 league avg)
-0.13
Rodrigo InsĂșa on the bench (3 goals, 1 assists)
Facundo Bruera on the bench (1 goals, 1 assists)
13% of goal output missing (only 84% available)

Argentinos Juniors

3 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1.2 goals/match)
-0.07
Alan Lescano not in squad (5 goals, 0 assists)
Weak away record (0.9 vs 1.4 goals/match)

League

Low-scoring league (2.1 goals/match)
-0.41
-0.41
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    Barracas Central: 44% of all goals between minutes 16-30 (4 of 9)

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

32%

Draw

33%

Away Win

35%

Goals

Over 1.5

65%

Under 1.5

35%

Over 2.5

36%

Under 2.5

64%

Over 3.5

17%

Under 3.5

83%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

65%

Away or Draw

68%

No Draw

67%

Both Score

Yes

45%

No

55%

Key Factors
  • While Barracas Central (form WLLLD) struggled recently, Argentinos Juniors (form WWLDW) secured three wins from their last five matches
  • Argentinos Juniors averaged 64.6% possession and 4.8 shots on target in recent matches
  • The mathematical analysis predicts an away win with a 35% probability and 1.10 expected goals for the visitors
Risk Factors
  • Barracas Central's goal production has recently stalled at an average of 0.5 goals per match compared to their season average of 1.0
  • Argentinos Juniors concedes an average of 1.56 goals away from home compared to just 0.41 goals at home
  • Limited data availability for weather conditions
Overview

Barracas Central (8th place, 20 points) host Argentinos Juniors (5th place, 23 points) at Estadio Claudio Chiqui Tapia

Liga Profesional de FĂștbol match on September 7, 2026, 11:00 PM

Both teams are looking to secure crucial points

Form

Barracas Central has a form of WLLLD with 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses

Their last result was a 0-0 draw against Tigre

Argentinos Juniors shows a form of WWLDW with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss

The visitors travel after a 2-1 win against Aldosivi

Statistics

Barracas Central scores an average of 0.83 goals and concedes 0.87 goals this season

In home games, they average 0.85 goals scored and 0.85 conceded

Argentinos Juniors scores an average of 1.33 goals and concedes 1.56 goals away from home

This season, both teams scored in 12 of 26 matches played by the visitors

Head-to-Head

4 head-to-head matches in history

Barracas Central won 2 matches, Argentinos Juniors won 1 with 1 draw

The last meeting ended in a 1-1 draw on March 1, 2026

The goal difference in direct duels is balanced at 4-4

Key Players

IvĂĄn Tapia (2 goals, 2 assists) and TomĂĄs Porra (1 goal, 4 assists) control the midfield

Gonzalo Maroni scored 1 goal in his last 5 appearances

Not nominated: Rodrigo InsĂșa and Facundo Bruera

TomĂĄs Molina leads the offense with 5 goals this season

Hernån López Muñoz has 4 goals, while Gastón Verón scored 3 goals

Not nominated: Alan Lescano

Goalkeepers

Marcelo Miño has kept 8 clean sheets this season with an average rating of 7.3

Brayan Josué Cortés Fernåndez recorded 12 clean sheets with a rating of 6.9

Influences

The match is played on grass

In previous matches at this stadium, an average of 1.6 goals per game were scored

Barracas Central averages 0.85 goals per game at home

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