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Liga Profesional de FĂștbol

Banfield - Barracas Central

09/14/2026, 10:00 PM

1 : 1
Expected Goals
Banfield
1.1
Total xG
2.1
Barracas Central
1.0
Most Likely Scores

1:1

15%

0:0

14%

1:0

11%

0:1

11%

2:1

7%
What influences the xG?
BANBC

Banfield

Defensive weakness (1.4 conceded vs 1.2 league avg)
+0.26
4 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1 goals/match)
-0.04
Strong home record (1.4 vs 1.1 goals/match)

Barracas Central

Attack weakness (0.73x league average)
+0.24
5 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (0.2 goals/match)
-0.24
Declining form (0.3 vs 1 season average)
-0.20
Defensive strength (1 conceded vs 0.9 league avg)
+0.14
Rodrigo InsĂșa on the bench (3 goals, 1 assists)
Facundo Bruera on the bench (1 goals, 1 assists)
11% of goal output missing (only 86% available)
Weak away record (0.6 vs 1 goals/match)

League

Low-scoring league (2.1 goals/match)
-0.40
-0.40
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    Banfield: 5 of 11 goals scored by substitutes (last 12 games)

  • 2
    Banfield: 5 goals from minute 80 onwards in the last 12 games (5 of 12 total)

  • 3
    Barracas Central: 50% of all goals between minutes 16-30 (4 of 8)

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

34%

Draw

33%

Away Win

33%

Goals

Over 1.5

64%

Under 1.5

36%

Over 2.5

35%

Under 2.5

65%

Over 3.5

16%

Under 3.5

84%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

67%

Away or Draw

66%

No Draw

67%

Both Score

Yes

44%

No

56%

Key Factors
  • Barracas Central is missing Rodrigo InsĂșa (3G/1A) and Facundo Bruera (1G/1A) who are not nominated
  • Banfield was recently counter-oriented with 41% possession and averaged 4.4 shots on target
  • The offensive output of both teams has declined recently, with Barracas Central averaging only 0.33 goals
Risk Factors
  • Low offensive threat with Barracas Central averaging only 3.2 shots on target in recent matches
  • High probability of a low-scoring match with only 35% calculated probability for over 2.5 goals
  • Shorter recovery window for Barracas Central with only 7 days of rest compared to 9 days for Banfield
Overview

Banfield hosts Barracas Central at the Estadio Florencio Sola

Liga Profesional de FĂștbol match on September 14, 2026, 10:00 PM

Banfield is in 12th place with 15 points

Barracas Central is in 8th place with 20 points

Form

Banfield shows the form LWLLL with 1 win and 4 losses

Barracas Central shows the form LLLDD with 0 wins and 2 draws

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

Statistics

Banfield scores avg. 1.04 goals and concedes avg. 1.33 goals this season

In home games, the team scores avg. 1.07 goals and concedes avg. 0.93 goals

Barracas Central scores avg. 0.79 goals and concedes avg. 0.83 goals

Away from home, the guests score avg. 0.8 goals and concede avg. 0.9 goals

Head-to-Head

There have been 4 head-to-head matches so far

Both Banfield and Barracas Central won 2 matches each

The last match ended 2-1 in favor of Barracas Central on May 2, 2026

Key Players

Santiago LĂłpez GarcĂ­a has 2 goals and 4 assists with a rating of 6.93

Ignacio Abraham contributes 4 assists with a rating of 6.81

TomĂĄs AdoryĂĄn has 2 assists with a rating of 6.96

TomĂĄs Porra has 1 goal and 4 assists with a rating of 6.86

IvĂĄn Tapia has 2 goals and 2 assists with a rating of 6.84

Kevin Jappert contributes 1 goal with a rating of 6.97

Not nominated: Rodrigo InsĂșa (3G/1A) and Facundo Bruera (1G/1A)

Goalkeepers

Aleksandr Petrosyan played 1 match this season with a rating of 7.63

Banfield has kept 6 clean sheets so far, including 4 at home

Marcelo Miño played 19 matches with an average rating of 7.31

Barracas Central kept 9 clean sheets this season, including 5 away

Influences

Matches at Estadio Florencio Sola average 2.6 total goals per game

Both teams scored and over 2.5 goals occurred in 2 out of 5 matches

Banfield has 9 days of rest since their last match, compared to 7 days for Barracas Central

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