Liga Profesional de FĂștbol
Tigre - Rosario Central
09/13/2026, 05:45 PM
Expected Goals
1.4
2.5
1.1
1:1
14%2:1
9%2:0
8%1:2
7%0:2
5%What influences the xG?
Tigre
Rosario Central
League
The Lab
- 1Rosario Central: opponent scores first in 8 of 11 games (73%)
- 2Rosario Central: 5 goals from minute 80 onwards in 11 games. Against Independiente: 2 goals (84', 90+2')
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
41%
Draw
30%
Away Win
29%
Goals
Over 1.5
74%
Under 1.5
26%
Over 2.5
46%
Under 2.5
54%
Over 3.5
25%
Under 3.5
75%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
71%
Away or Draw
59%
No Draw
70%
Both Score
Yes
53%
No
47%
Key Factors
- Home defensive strength: Tigre concedes an average of only 0.69 goals per game in their own stadium
- Tactical metrics: Rosario Central averaged 64.4% possession and 5.4 shots on target in recent matches
- Mathematical advantage: The model favors Tigre with a 41% probability of a home win
Risk Factors
- Low offensive threat: Tigre averaged only 2.0 shots on target per game in recent matches
- Historical draw trend: Both previous head-to-head encounters ended in a tie
- Dangerous away attack: Rosario Central scores an average of 1.25 goals in away games
Overview
Tigre (10th place, 18 points) host Rosario Central (3rd place, 25 points) at the Estadio José Dellagiovanna
Liga Profesional de FĂștbol match on September 13, 2026, 5:45 PM
Rosario Central are looking to maintain their push near the top of the standings
Tigre will try to take advantage of playing on home turf
Form
Tigre's form across all competitions is WDWDL with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss
Rosario Central has a matching form of WWDLD with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in their last 5 matches
Both sides head into this game with stable recent performances
Form explanation: W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Statistics
Tigre scores an average of 1.04 goals per game this season while conceding 0.83 goals
At home Tigre's defense is particularly strong, conceding an average of only 0.69 goals
Rosario Central averages 1.25 goals scored per match in away games
The visiting side concedes an average of 1.17 goals when playing on the road
Head-to-Head
There has been no winner in the 2 historical head-to-head matches between these teams
Both direct encounters ended in a draw
The overall goal tally is completely even at 2-2
Their most recent match on May 3, 2026 ended in a 1-1 scoreline
Key Players
Ignacio Russo has recorded 7 goals and 3 assists this campaign
Alan Barrionuevo stands out with an average season rating of 7.18
Mauro MĂ©ndez has contributed 1 goal and 1 assist
Ăngel Di MarĂa leads with 7 goals and 4 assists this season
Jaminton Campaz is an important factor with 3 goals and 4 assists
Enzo Copetti has registered 5 goals and 1 assist so far
Goalkeepers
Felipe Zenobio plays in goal for Tigre with an average rating of 6.87
Tigre has kept a total of 8 clean sheets in this campaign
Conan Ledesma guards the net for Rosario Central with a rating of 6.82
Rosario Central has recorded 7 clean sheets so far
Influences
The game takes place on grass at the Estadio José Dellagiovanna
In the last 5 home games, there was an average of only 1.2 goals scored per match
The BTTS rate at this stadium stands at 40 percent
Tigre's strong defensive home average of 0.69 goals conceded heavily influences the home advantage