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Liga Profesional de FĂștbol

Argentinos Juniors - Gimnasia La Plata

09/13/2026, 08:00 PM

1 : 1
Expected Goals
Argentinos Juniors
1.7
Total xG
2.6
Gimnasia La Plata
0.8
Most Likely Scores

1:1

13%

2:0

11%

2:1

10%

3:0

7%

3:1

6%
What influences the xG?
AJGLP

Argentinos Juniors

Attack strength (1.59x league average)
+0.82
3 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1 goals/match)
-0.13
Alan Lescano not in squad (5 goals, 0 assists)
13% of goal output missing (only 93% available)
Strong home record (1.7 vs 1.4 goals/match)

Gimnasia La Plata

4 of last 5 matches with 2+ goals (1.6 goals/match)
+0.10
Rising form (1.6 vs 1.3 season average)
+0.10
Weak away record (0.8 vs 1.3 goals/match)

League

Low-scoring league (2.1 goals/match)
-0.40
-0.40
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    Gimnasia La Plata: 3.2 cards per game (35 yellows, 3 reds in 12 games)

  • 2
    Gimnasia La Plata: first goal in 8 of 12 games (67%)

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

57%

Draw

26%

Away Win

17%

Goals

Over 1.5

74%

Under 1.5

26%

Over 2.5

48%

Under 2.5

52%

Over 3.5

26%

Under 3.5

74%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

83%

Away or Draw

43%

No Draw

74%

Both Score

Yes

48%

No

52%

Key Factors
  • Not nominated for the home side: Alan Lescano with 5 season goals
  • Argentinos Juniors averaged a dominant 63.4% possession in recent matches
  • The mathematical model predicts a home win with a probability of 57%
Risk Factors
  • Gimnasia La Plata concedes an average of 1.73 goals per away match
  • Argentinos Juniors' goal production is currently stalling at 1.3 goals compared to their season average of 1.4
Overview

Argentinos Juniors (5th place, 23 points) host Gimnasia La Plata (6th place, 22 points)

Liga Profesional de FĂștbol match at the Estadio Diego Armando Maradona

Match on September 13, 2026, 10:00 PM

A close battle in the upper mid-table

Form

Form Argentinos Juniors: WLDWD (2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss in the last 5 matches)

Form Gimnasia La Plata: WLLWW (3 wins, 2 losses in the last 5 matches)

Argentinos Juniors comes off a draw against Barracas Central

Gimnasia La Plata recorded two consecutive wins recently

Statistics

Argentinos Juniors scores an average of 1.22 goals and concedes 0.78 goals per match

At home, Argentinos Juniors conceded only 7 goals in 17 matches (0.41 average)

Gimnasia La Plata scores an average of 1.23 goals and concedes 1.27 goals per match

On the road, Gimnasia La Plata concedes an average of 1.73 goals per game

Head-to-Head

2 head-to-head matches in the record

Gimnasia La Plata won both games with a total goal difference of 3:0

The last direct meeting ended in a 2-0 win for Gimnasia La Plata

Argentinos Juniors is still searching for their first win in this matchup

Key Players

GastĂłn VerĂłn scored 2 goals in his last 4 matches with an average rating of 7.11

TomĂĄs Molina registered 5 goals and 3 assists this season

Hernån López Muñoz contributed 4 goals and 3 assists this season

AgustĂ­n Auzmendi has 5 season goals and 2 assists

Nacho FernĂĄndez shows a rising trend with 1 assist recently

Maximiliano Zalazar recorded 1 goal and 1 assist this season

Goalkeepers

Brayan Josué Cortés Fernåndez kept 9 clean sheets at home this season

Nelson InsfrĂĄn recorded 3 clean sheets in away games this season

Influences

Estadio Diego Armando Maradona features a natural grass surface

Matches at this venue average 1.8 goals over the last 5 games

Argentinos Juniors boasts a strong home record, conceding only 7 goals in 17 home games

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