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Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Talleres Córdoba - Unión Santa Fe

09/12/2026, 11:00 PM

2 : 1
Expected Goals
Talleres Córdoba
1.2
Total xG
2.6
Unión Santa Fe
1.4
Most Likely Scores

1:1

14%

1:2

9%

2:1

7%

0:2

7%

2:0

5%
What influences the xG?
TCUSF

Talleres Córdoba

4 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (0.6 goals/match)
-0.18
Declining form (0.8 vs 1.2 season average)
-0.13
Defensive weakness (1.3 conceded vs 1.2 league avg)
+0.10
Timoteo Chamorro on the bench (0 goals, 2 assists)

Unión Santa Fe

3 of last 5 matches with 2+ goals (2.2 goals/match)
+0.15
Rising form (2.2 vs 1.7 season average)
+0.15
Cristian Tarragona not in squad (14 goals, 1 assists)
38% of goal output missing (only 81% available)
Weak away record (1.1 vs 1.7 goals/match)

League

Low-scoring league (2.1 goals/match)
-0.40
-0.40
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    Talleres Córdoba: 3.2 cards per game (33 yellows, 5 reds in 12 games)

  • 2
    Unión Santa Fe: 33% of all goals between minutes 61-75 (7 of 21)

  • 3
    Unión Santa Fe with Brahian David Cuello starting: 1.9 goals/game, without him: 1.1 (15/7 games, last 26)

  • 4
    Unión Santa Fe: 71% of all goals in the second half (15 of 21, last 12 games)

  • 5
    Talleres Córdoba: dropped a lead in 3 of 5 games (7 points lost)

  • 6
    Unión Santa Fe: 6 of 12 games without conceding in H1, but only 0 over 90 minutes

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

30%

Draw

30%

Away Win

40%

Goals

Over 1.5

74%

Under 1.5

26%

Over 2.5

47%

Under 2.5

53%

Over 3.5

26%

Under 3.5

74%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

60%

Away or Draw

70%

No Draw

70%

Both Score

Yes

54%

No

46%

Key Factors
  • Form advantage for the visitors: Unión Santa Fe enters the match on a 3-game winning streak while Talleres is winless in 5
  • Tactical efficiency: Unión Santa Fe is currently scoring more frequently (2.2 goals per game) than their season average of 1.71
  • Away defense vs home attack: Unión Santa Fe concedes 1.85 goals on average away, while Talleres' scoring rate has slowed down to 0.8 goals recently
Risk Factors
  • Fatigue factor: Unión Santa Fe has had only 4 days of rest since their last match compared to 7 days for Talleres Córdoba
  • Vulnerable away defense: Unión Santa Fe has kept zero clean sheets in their 13 away matches this season
  • The statistical model expects a close encounter with a 30% home win probability and a 40% away win probability
Overview

Talleres Córdoba host Unión Santa Fe in the Liga Profesional de Fútbol

The home team currently sits in 4th place with 26 points

The visitors occupy 8th place with 21 points

Both teams are competing for crucial points in the upper-middle section of the table

Form

Talleres Córdoba is in poor form with an LLDDL record over their last matches

The home side is winless in their last 5 matches

Unión Santa Fe arrives in strong shape with an LLWWW record and 3 consecutive wins

The visitors currently show significantly better momentum than the hosts

Statistics

Talleres Córdoba scored an average of 1.0 goal per game this season while conceding 1.08

Unión Santa Fe features a strong attack with 1.58 goals per match

The visitors concede an average of 1.85 goals away and have kept zero clean sheets on the road

The mathematical model predicts a 54% probability of both teams scoring

Head-to-Head

There have been 2 direct encounters recorded in the database

The last meeting ended in a 1-1 draw on May 2, 2026

Previously, Talleres Córdoba secured a narrow 3-2 away victory

Key Players

For the hosts, attacker Rick stands out with a season rating of 6.95

Valentín Depietri has contributed 3 goals this season

Franco Cristaldo averages a rating of 6.97 in midfield

For the visitors, Julián Palacios pulls the strings with 3 goals and 8 assists

Marcelo Estigarribia has scored 4 goals so far this season

Not nominated: Cristian Tarragona (14 goals / 1 assist) and Timoteo Chamorro (0 goals / 2 assists)

Goalkeepers

Ezequiel Unsain guards the goal for Talleres Córdoba with a strong season average rating of 7.39

Matías Mansilla is in goal for Unión Santa Fe with an average rating of 6.88

The hosts have kept 8 clean sheets this season while the visitors registered 5

Influences

The match will be played on natural grass at the Estadio Juan Domingo Perón

Matches at this venue have produced an average of 2.2 goals

The home team has a regeneration advantage with 7 days of rest since their last match

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