Liga Profesional de Fútbol
Deportivo Riestra - Lanús
09/14/2026, 10:00 PM
Expected Goals
0.9
1.9
1.0
0:0
17%1:1
15%0:1
13%1:0
12%0:2
7%What influences the xG?
Deportivo Riestra
Lanús
League
The Lab
- 1Lanús: scored only in H2 in 4 consecutive games (6 of 12 total)
- 2Lanús: 5 of 11 goals conceded from minute 76 onwards (last 12 games)
- 3Yoshan Valois: 3 of 3 goals after minute 60 (last 12 games)
- 4Lanús: 50% of all goals between minutes 61-75 (4 of 8)
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
31%
Draw
36%
Away Win
33%
Goals
Over 1.5
58%
Under 1.5
42%
Over 2.5
29%
Under 2.5
71%
Over 3.5
12%
Under 3.5
88%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
67%
Away or Draw
69%
No Draw
64%
Both Score
Yes
39%
No
61%
Key Factors
- Defensive fortress at home: Riestra conceded an average of only 0.33 goals per home game this season
- Missing offensive power for Lanús: Dylan Aquino (6 goals, 2 assists this season) is not nominated, leaving only 76% of their goals share active
- Tactical profile: Riestra averaged only 3.2 shots on target with 31% possession in recent matches
Risk Factors
- Harmless home attack: Deportivo Riestra score an average of only 0.56 goals per home match
- Few offensive actions: Riestra averaged only 3.2 shots on target in recent matches
Overview
Deportivo Riestra (15th place, 11 points) host Lanús (6th place, 24 points)
Liga Profesional de Fútbol match on September 14, 2026, 11:00 PM
Lanús fight to stay close to the top group while Riestra remain near the bottom of the table
The mathematical analysis predicts a tight contest with a draw probability of 36%
Form
Form of Deportivo Riestra: WLDDD
Form of Lanús: WLDLW
Riestra recently recorded three consecutive draws
Lanús comes off a 1-0 win against Defensa y Justicia in their last match
Riestra recorded 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss in their last five games
Lanús registered 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in their last five matches
Statistics
Deportivo Riestra average 0.54 goals scored and 0.79 goals conceded per season
Riestra's home record shows only 6 goals conceded in 18 home games
Lanús average 1.04 goals scored and 1.00 goals conceded per match
In away matches Lanús concede an average of 1.15 goals while scoring 1.00
Head-to-Head
4 head-to-head matches in history
Deportivo Riestra recorded 3 wins, while Lanús have not won a match yet
One match ended in a draw
The last meeting on May 2, 2026, ended in a 0-0 draw
Key Players
Antony Alonso leads Riestra's attack with 4 goals this season
Milton Céliz stands out with an average rating of 6.98
Alexander Díaz has contributed 2 goals so far this season
Carlos Izquierdoz is the highest-rated defender for Lanús at 7.17
Sasha Marcich impresses with a 6.89 rating in 24 appearances
Felipe Peña Biafore has scored 2 goals this season for Lanús
Not nominated for Lanús: Dylan Aquino with 6 goals and 2 assists this season
Goalkeepers
Ignacio Arce plays in goal for Riestra and holds a strong season rating of 7.18
Nahuel Losada guards the net for Lanús with an average rating of 7.06
Both goalkeepers recorded an average rating of 6.90 over their last 5 appearances
Influences
The match will be played on natural grass at the Estadio Guillermo Laza
The stadium statistics show an average of only 2.0 goals per match
There was a BTTS rate of only 20% in Riestra's last 5 home games
Riestra's home defensive strength with only 6 goals conceded in 18 home matches is a key factor