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Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Huracán - Racing Club

09/14/2026, 12:30 AM

2 : 1
Expected Goals
Huracán
1.5
Total xG
2.5
Racing Club
1.0
Most Likely Scores

1:1

14%

1:0

11%

0:0

10%

2:0

10%

2:1

9%
What influences the xG?
HURRC

Huracán

4 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (0.8 goals/match)
-0.15
Declining form (1 vs 1.3 season average)
-0.09
Leonardo Gil on the bench (1 goals, 2 assists)

Racing Club

Defensive weakness (1.4 conceded vs 0.9 league avg)
+0.45
5 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (0.8 goals/match)
-0.11
Declining form (0.8 vs 1.2 season average)
-0.11
Tomás Conechny on the bench (3 goals, 2 assists)
Matko Miljevic on the bench (2 goals, 1 assists)

League

Low-scoring league (2.1 goals/match)
-0.40
-0.40
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    Racing Club: 3.3 cards per game (36 yellows, 4 reds in 12 games)

  • 2
    Racing Club: dropped a lead in 4 of 5 games (10 points lost)

  • 3
    Huracán: 3 cards per game (30 yellows, 3 reds in 11 games)

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

48%

Draw

29%

Away Win

23%

Goals

Over 1.5

73%

Under 1.5

27%

Over 2.5

46%

Under 2.5

54%

Over 3.5

24%

Under 3.5

76%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

77%

Away or Draw

52%

No Draw

71%

Both Score

Yes

50%

No

50%

Key Factors
  • Form discrepancy: Huracán remained unbeaten in four of their last five matches while Racing Club suffered four defeats
  • Missing squad impact: Racing Club must cope without key players Tomás Conechny and Matko Miljevic leaving only 86% of their usual attacking threat
  • Tactical metric: Huracán averaged a dominant 59.2% possession in recent matches
Risk Factors
  • Stuttering attack: Huracán currently average 1.0 goals compared to their season average of 1.3
  • Low offensive output: Huracán averaged only 2.8 shots on target in recent matches
  • Limited data availability for weather conditions
Overview

Huracán host Racing Club at the Estadio Tomás Adolfo Ducó

Liga Profesional de Fútbol match on September 14, 2026, 2:30 AM

Huracán sit in 11th place with 18 points while Racing Club occupy 7th place with 20 points

The mathematical model predicts a competitive match with an advantage for the home side

Form

Huracán show more stability with a form of WLDDD registering one win and three draws

Racing Club are currently in a crisis with a form of LLDLL including four defeats

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

Statistics

Huracán average 1.0 goals scored and a solid 0.85 goals conceded per match this season

Racing Club average 1.0 goals scored and 1.15 goals conceded per game

At home Huracán average 1.0 goals scored and only 0.69 goals conceded

Head-to-Head

Balanced historical record with 4 head-to-head matches in total

Both teams have recorded one win each alongside two draws

The last meeting on May 3, 2026, ended in a scoreless 0:0 draw

Key Players

Jordy Caicedo has already scored 12 goals this season

Óscar Cortés contributed 2 goals and 4 assists in 24 appearances

César Ibáñez stood out with 2 assists in his last five matches

Goalkeepers

Hernán Galíndez started 25 matches this season keeping 11 clean sheets

Facundo Cambeses played 26 matches keeping 8 clean sheets

Both goalkeepers have a nearly identical average rating of around 6.96

Influences

Huracán play on their preferred grass pitch at the Estadio Tomás Adolfo Ducó

Historically games at this venue average a low 1.2 total goals per match

Huracán benefit from a robust home defense conceding only 0.69 goals on average

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