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Liga Profesional de Fútbol

River Plate - Huracán

09/19/2026, 10:00 PM

1 : 2
Expected Goals
River Plate
1.6
Total xG
2.4
Huracán
0.8
Most Likely Scores

1:0

13%

1:1

13%

2:0

12%

0:0

11%

2:1

9%
What influences the xG?
RPHUR

River Plate

Attack strength (1.29x league average)
+0.45
5 of last 5 matches with 2+ goals (2.4 goals/match)
+0.28
Rising form (2.4 vs 1.5 season average)
+0.28
Defensive strength (1 conceded vs 1.2 league avg)
-0.24
Standings advantage (pos 1 vs 11, 10 places gap)
+0.08
Full strength squad available

Huracán

4 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (0.8 goals/match)
-0.16
Declining form (1 vs 1.3 season average)
-0.10
Standings disadvantage (pos 11 vs 1, 10 places gap)
-0.09
Juan Bisanz on the bench (2 goals, 1 assists)

League

Low-scoring league (2.1 goals/match)
-0.38
-0.38
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    River Plate: 7 of 12 goals conceded from minute 76 onwards (last 12 games)

  • 2
    River Plate with Sebastián Driussi starting: 1.7 goals/game, without him: 0.8 (18/10 games, last 29)

  • 3
    River Plate: first goal in 9 of 12 games (75%)

  • 4
    Huracán: 2.9 cards per game (29 yellows, 3 reds in 11 games)

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

56%

Draw

28%

Away Win

16%

Goals

Over 1.5

70%

Under 1.5

30%

Over 2.5

43%

Under 2.5

57%

Over 3.5

22%

Under 3.5

78%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

84%

Away or Draw

44%

No Draw

72%

Both Score

Yes

45%

No

55%

Key Factors
  • Home win prediction: Mathematical analysis calculates a 56% home win probability for River Plate
  • Offensive power: River Plate averaged 5.8 shots on target in recent matches with 59% possession
  • Squad strength: The home side has 98% of its seasonal goal production available for this fixture
Risk Factors
  • Huracán has averaged only 3.0 shots on target in recent matches (avgShotsOnTarget)
  • Huracán's goal production has stalled at a recent average of 1.0 goals compared to its season average of 1.33
Overview

River Plate host Huracán at the Estadio Monumental

Liga Profesional de Fútbol match on September 19, 2026, 10:00 PM

League leaders River Plate with 29 points face 11th-placed Huracán with 18 points

The home side enters this fixture as the clear favorites

Form

River Plate is in strong form with a WDWWW trend

The home team recorded 4 wins and 1 draw in their last five matches

River Plate is currently scoring more frequently, averaging 2.4 goals per game compared to their season average of 1.46

Huracán arrives with a LDDDW form, representing 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss

The visitors' goal production has stalled, averaging 1.0 goals recently compared to their season average of 1.33

Statistics

River Plate scores an average of 1.41 goals per game and concedes 0.93 goals this season

In home matches, River Plate averages 1.4 goals scored and 0.9 goals conceded

Huracán records an average of 1.04 goals scored and concedes 0.85 goals per game

On the road, the visitors score an average of 1.0 goals and concede an average of 1.0 goals

Head-to-Head

There have been 2 head-to-head matches, resulting in 1 win for River Plate and 1 draw

The goal difference stands at 3 to 2 in favor of River Plate

The last meeting on March 13, 2026, ended in a 2-1 home victory for River Plate

Key Players

Thiago Almada impresses with an average rating of 7.75 and 2 seasonal goals

Ángel Correa has scored 3 goals so far with a rating of 7.27

Gonzalo Montiel has already contributed 6 seasonal goals from defense

For the visitors, Jordy Caicedo has already scored 13 goals this season

Facundo Waller holds an average rating of 7.07 with 2 goals scored

César Ibáñez has contributed 3 assists with an average rating of 6.87

Goalkeepers

Santiago Beltrán plays in goal for River Plate, with the team achieving 10 clean sheets so far

Hernán Galíndez guards the net for Huracán, whose team registered 11 clean sheets this season

Influences

Estadio Monumental offers a natural grass surface for this encounter

Matches played at this venue have produced an average of 2.0 goals per game

The BTTS rate at this venue currently stands at 50%

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