Liga Profesional de FĂștbol
San Lorenzo - Boca Juniors
09/20/2026, 05:45 PM
Expected Goals
1.2
2.7
1.5
1:1
14%1:2
9%0:2
8%2:1
7%2:2
5%What influences the xG?
San Lorenzo
Boca Juniors
League
The Lab
- 1Boca Juniors: 7 goals from minute 80 onwards in 12 games. Against HuracĂĄn: 2 goals (87', 116')
- 2Boca Juniors: 7 of 20 goals scored by substitutes (last 12 games)
- 3San Lorenzo: scored only after the break in 5 of 12 games
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
29%
Draw
29%
Away Win
42%
Goals
Over 1.5
76%
Under 1.5
24%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5
50%
Over 3.5
28%
Under 3.5
72%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
58%
Away or Draw
71%
No Draw
71%
Both Score
Yes
56%
No
44%
Key Factors
- Standings advantage: Second-placed Boca Juniors with 30 points hold a clear advantage over seventh-placed San Lorenzo with 22 points
- Consistent goalscoring: According to advanced stats, Boca Juniors score consistently at around 1.6 goals per game, while San Lorenzo's goal production is stagnant at 0.8 goals recently
- Tactical dominance: Boca Juniors averaged 53.6% possession and 4.4 shots on target in recent matches
Risk Factors
- Squad adjustment: Dylan Gorosito (0 goals, 2 assists in recent stats) was not selected in the starting lineup for Boca Juniors
- Low-scoring history: Estadio Pedro Bidegain averages just 1.6 goals per game, with BTTS and Over 2.5 rates of only 20%
- Severe injury concerns: San Lorenzo will miss D. Herrera, E. Cerutti, G. HernĂĄndez, and C. Barrios due to injuries
Overview
San Lorenzo (7th place, 22 points) host Boca Juniors (2nd place, 30 points) at the Estadio Pedro Bidegain
Liga Profesional de FĂștbol match on September 20, 2026, 6:45 PM
Boca Juniors aim to consolidate their top spot position while the hosts seek to close the gap
Form
San Lorenzo entry with form WDLWD (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
The home side recently recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss
Boca Juniors arrive with form DDWDW
The visitors earned 2 wins and 3 draws in their recent games
Statistics
San Lorenzo averages 0.77 goals scored and 0.85 goals conceded this season
In total, the home side kept 13 clean sheets
Boca Juniors averages 1.38 goals scored and 0.88 goals conceded per game
The visitors recorded 11 clean sheets this season
Head-to-Head
2 head-to-head matches in history
0 home wins, 1 away win, and 1 draw
Goal difference of 3:4 goals
The last encounter on March 11, 2026 ended in a 1:1 draw
Key Players
Alexis Cuello stands out for the hosts with 5 goals and 3 assists this season, holding a 6.9 rating
Rodrigo Auzmendi scored 6 season goals for the home side
Facundo FarĂas contributed 1 goal with a strong season average rating of 7.51
For the visitors, Miguel Merentiel shines with 7 goals and 2 assists, rating 6.88
Santiago AscacĂbar contributed 5 goals and 2 assists
Leandro Paredes leads the midfield with 2 goals, 3 assists, and a 7.57 rating
Goalkeepers
José Devecchi played 8 season games for San Lorenzo with a rating of 6.89
Ălvaro Montero was also on the pitch 8 times for Boca Juniors this season, rating 7
The hosts kept a total of 13 clean sheets, while the visitors recorded 11 clean sheets
Influences
San Lorenzo averaged 0.76 goals scored and 0.76 goals conceded at home
Boca Juniors scored an average of 1.43 goals and conceded 1.07 goals away from home
Statistics show an average of only 1.6 goals per game at the Estadio Pedro Bidegain