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Liga Profesional de FĂștbol

Platense - Newell's Old Boys

09/20/2026, 08:00 PM

0 : 1
Expected Goals
Platense
1.0
Total xG
1.9
Newell's Old Boys
0.9
Most Likely Scores

0:0

17%

1:1

15%

1:0

14%

0:1

12%

2:0

8%
What influences the xG?
PLANOB

Platense

Attack weakness (0.69x league average)
-0.30
Defensive weakness (1.4 conceded vs 1.2 league avg)
+0.25
4 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1 goals/match)
+0.01
Franco Zapiola on the bench (2 goals, 2 assists)

Newell's Old Boys

Rising form (1.5 vs 1.1 season average)
+0.12
Attack weakness (0.71x league average)
-0.12
3 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1.2 goals/match)
+0.03
Weak away record (0.7 vs 1.1 goals/match)
Full strength squad available

League

Low-scoring league (2.1 goals/match)
-0.37
-0.37
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    Newell's Old Boys: scored only in H2 in 4 consecutive games (8 of 11 total)

  • 2
    Newell's Old Boys: 6 of 15 goals scored by substitutes (last 12 games)

  • 3
    Newell's Old Boys: 4 comebacks in 6 games after trailing past minute 75 (6 points rescued)

  • 4
    Newell's Old Boys: 54% of all goals between minutes 76-90 (7 of 13)

  • 5
    Platense: 4 of 12 goals scored by substitutes (last 12 games)

  • 6
    Platense: dropped a lead in 3 of 5 games (7 points lost)

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

36%

Draw

36%

Away Win

28%

Goals

Over 1.5

57%

Under 1.5

43%

Over 2.5

29%

Under 2.5

71%

Over 3.5

12%

Under 3.5

88%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

72%

Away or Draw

64%

No Draw

64%

Both Score

Yes

38%

No

62%

Key Factors
  • Form curve favors the visitors: Newell's Old Boys are unbeaten in 5 matches, while Platense has been inconsistent recently
  • Striker in top form: MatĂ­as CĂłccaro scored 4 goals in the past 5 matches for Newell's Old Boys
  • Tactical possession stability: Newell's Old Boys averaged 50% ball possession in recent matches
Risk Factors
  • Defensive weakness of the visitors on the road: Newell's Old Boys concedes an average of 1.91 goals per away game
  • Weak home offense: Platense scores an average of only 0.73 goals per home game
Overview

Platense (13th place, 16 points) host Newell's Old Boys (14th place, 15 points) at the Estadio Ciudad de Vicente LĂłpez

Liga Profesional de FĂștbol match on September 20, 2026, 10:00 PM

A close battle between mid-to-lower table neighbors

Form

Platense in mixed form (DWLDL) coming off a loss

Form string: DWLDL (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

Newell's Old Boys are unbeaten in 5 games with form WWDDD

Form string: WWDDD (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

Platense with 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses in their last 5 matches

Newell's Old Boys recorded 2 wins and 3 draws recently

Statistics

Platense scores an average of 0.76 goals and concedes 1.16 goals per game this season

In home games, Platense averages 0.73 goals scored and 1.45 goals conceded

Newell's Old Boys averages 1.00 goal scored and 1.40 goals conceded per match

Away from home, Newell's Old Boys concedes an average of 1.91 goals while scoring 1.00

Platense kept 7 clean sheets this season

Newell's Old Boys has recorded 5 clean sheets so far

Head-to-Head

A total of 2 head-to-head matches in history

Platense recorded 1 win, Newell's Old Boys 0 wins, with 1 draw

Goal difference of 3:1 in favor of Platense in these duels

The last encounter ended in a 1-1 draw on March 11, 2026

Key Players

NicolĂĄs Retamar has 3 goals and 2 assists with a rating of 6.83

Bautista Merlini stands at 2 goals, 1 assist, and a season rating of 6.86

Guido Mainero contributed 2 goals so far with a rating of 6.73

MatĂ­as CĂłccaro leads with 6 goals and 2 assists, rated at 6.87

Facundo Guch has 2 goals and 4 assists with an average rating of 6.87

Walter Mazzantti records 2 goals, 2 assists, and a rating of 6.97

Goalkeepers

Juan Pablo Cozzani in goal for Platense has recorded 2 clean sheets in home games

Josué Reinatti has kept 1 clean sheet in away games this season

Cozzani holds an average season rating of 7.03

Reinatti reaches an average season rating of 7.20

Influences

Played on grass at the Estadio Ciudad de Vicente LĂłpez

The stadium statistics show an average of 2.8 goals per match

Both teams scored in 3 out of 5 home matches

The mathematical model predicts 1.00 goal for Platense and 0.86 goals for Newell's Old Boys

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