Liga Profesional de Fútbol
Rosario Central - Argentinos Juniors
09/20/2026, 08:00 PM
Expected Goals
1.2
1.9
0.7
0:0
17%1:0
16%1:1
14%2:0
10%0:1
9%What influences the xG?
Rosario Central
Argentinos Juniors
League
The Lab
- 1Argentinos Juniors: 5 wins in 6 games with xG above 1.0 (83% win rate)
- 2Rosario Central: opponent scores first in 8 of 11 games (73%)
- 3Rosario Central: 5 goals from minute 80 onwards in 11 games. Against Independiente: 2 goals (84', 90+2')
- 4Rosario Central: 3.1 cards per game (35 yellows, 2 reds in 12 games)
- 5Rosario Central: scored only after the break in 6 of 11 games
- 6Argentinos Juniors: 71% of all goals in the second half (12 of 17, last 12 games)
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
44%
Draw
34%
Away Win
21%
Goals
Over 1.5
57%
Under 1.5
43%
Over 2.5
29%
Under 2.5
71%
Over 3.5
12%
Under 3.5
88%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
79%
Away or Draw
56%
No Draw
66%
Both Score
Yes
37%
No
63%
Key Factors
- Home win prediction: Mathematical model calculates a 44% probability for a home win by Rosario Central
- Dominant possession: Rosario Central recently averaged 61.4% possession and 5.8 shots on target per match
- Offensive absences: Argentinos Juniors is missing Alan Lescano (5 goals) and Sebastián Prieto (2 goals, 2 assists) from their starting lineup
Risk Factors
- Away defensive issues: Argentinos Juniors concedes 1.4 goals on average per away game
- Struggling goal production: Rosario Central's recent average of 1.2 goals is below their season average of 1.4
- Decreased efficiency: Argentinos Juniors also averages only 1.0 goal in recent games compared to their season average of 1.4
Overview
Rosario Central (3rd place, 25 points) faces Argentinos Juniors (5th place, 23 points)
Top clash in the Liga Profesional de Fútbol at the Estadio 15 de Abril
Match on September 20, 2026, 10:00 PM
Both teams compete to stay close to the top of the table
Form
Rosario Central shows a form of WDLDW with 2 wins and 2 draws in their last 5 matches
Most recently they secured a 1-0 win against Tigre
Argentinos Juniors shows a form of LDWDD with 1 win and 3 draws
Their last match ended in a 1-1 draw against Gimnasia La Plata
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Statistics
Rosario Central averages 1.25 goals scored and 0.96 goals conceded per match
In 15 home games Rosario Central scored 1.27 goals on average and conceded 0.87 goals
Argentinos Juniors averages 1.21 goals scored and 0.79 goals conceded per match
Away from home the visitors concede 1.4 goals on average while scoring 1.2 goals
Rosario Central kept 8 clean sheets this season while Argentinos Juniors kept 13
Head-to-Head
2 head-to-head matches recorded in the database
1 draw and 1 win for Rosario Central
Goal difference of 3:2 in favor of Rosario Central
The last direct encounter ended in a 0-0 draw on March 11, 2026
Key Players
Ángel Di María has recorded 8 goals and 4 assists with a rating of 7.44
Jáminton Campaz has 3 goals and 4 assists with a rating of 7.27
Enzo Copetti scored 5 goals and provided 1 assist so far
Tomás Molina leads the visitors with 5 goals and 4 assists
Gastón Verón has scored 4 goals with a rating of 7.06
Hernán López Muñoz contributed 4 goals and 3 assists
Not in the lineup for the visitors: Alan Lescano (5G/0A) and Sebastián Prieto (2G/2A)
Goalkeepers
Axel Werner is in goal for Rosario Central with a rating of 7.81
Brayan Josué Cortés Fernández played 28 matches for the visitors with a rating of 6.89
Rosario Central has 8 clean sheets while Argentinos Juniors has recorded 13 clean sheets
Influences
The match will be played on grass at the Estadio 15 de Abril
This venue averages 3.6 goals per game with a BTTS rate of 100%
Home advantage for Rosario Central with a solid defense in their own stadium