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Liga Profesional de FĂștbol

Central Cordoba SdE - Defensa y Justicia

09/18/2026, 09:00 PM

2 : 2
Expected Goals
Central Cordoba SdE
1.1
Total xG
2.4
Defensa y Justicia
1.3
Most Likely Scores

1:1

15%

0:0

11%

0:1

11%

1:2

8%

1:0

8%
What influences the xG?
CCSDYJ

Central Cordoba SdE

Defensive weakness (1.5 conceded vs 1.2 league avg)
+0.33
5 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (0.4 goals/match)
-0.11
Declining form (0.5 vs 0.8 season average)
-0.08
23% of goal output missing (only 89% available)

Defensa y Justicia

Attack strength (1.32x league average)
+0.61
3 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1.2 goals/match)
-0.04

League

Low-scoring league (2.1 goals/match)
-0.39
-0.39
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    Central Cordoba SdE: opponent scores first in 9 of 10 games (90%)

  • 2
    Central Cordoba SdE: 50% of all goals between minutes 46-60 (5 of 10)

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

28%

Draw

31%

Away Win

41%

Goals

Over 1.5

70%

Under 1.5

30%

Over 2.5

42%

Under 2.5

58%

Over 3.5

21%

Under 3.5

79%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

59%

Away or Draw

72%

No Draw

69%

Both Score

Yes

49%

No

51%

Key Factors
  • Massive form discrepancy: Central Cordoba SdE is winless in 5 matches (LLDLL), while Defensa y Justicia won 3 of their last 5 (DWWLW)
  • Hosts' offensive struggles: Central Cordoba SdE averaged only 2.4 shots on target per match in recent games
  • Model favors visitors: The pipeline calculates a 41% win probability for Defensa y Justicia and projects 1.30 goals for them
Risk Factors
  • Home offensive drought: Central Cordoba SdE averages only 0.65 goals per home game this season
  • Low-scoring match risk: Venue history shows an average of 1.0 goals per game, and the Over 2.5 probability is just 42%
  • Historical H2H trap: Central Cordoba SdE leads the direct encounters with 2 wins out of 4 matches
Overview

Central Cordoba SdE host Defensa y Justicia

Liga Profesional de FĂștbol match on September 18, 2026, 10:00 PM

A mid-to-lower table clash between the 12th and 11th positions

Central Cordoba SdE sit on 16 points, while the visitors have 19 points

Form

Home team form string: LLDLL (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

Central Cordoba SdE recently recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses

Away team form string: DWWLW

Defensa y Justicia have 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss

The visitors arrive in much more stable form

Statistics

Central Cordoba SdE score an average of 0.64 goals and concede 1.28 goals

Defensa y Justicia score an average of 1.16 goals while conceding 1.2 goals

The hosts failed to score in 14 out of 25 matches this season

Defensa y Justicia saw both teams score in 14 of their games

Head-to-Head

4 head-to-head matches in history

2 wins for Central Cordoba SdE, 1 win for Defensa y Justicia, 1 draw

Last match ended 1-1 on March 12, 2026

Goal difference of 6-4 in favor of Central Cordoba SdE

Key Players

Facundo Mansilla with 1 goal this season and an average rating of 7.03

Marco Iacobellis with 1 assist and a rating of 6.84

Alejandro Maciel registers 1 goal and a rating of 7.03

Juan Gutiérrez stands out with 4 goals, 6 assists, and a rating of 6.89

David Barbona has 4 goals and 1 assist with an average rating of 7.00

Leandro FernĂĄndez has 2 goals in 9 appearances and a rating of 6.95

Goalkeepers

Alan Aguerre is in goal for the home side with a season rating of 7.15

On the other side stands MatĂ­as Borgogno with an average rating of 7.04

Both goalkeepers show stable average performances

Influences

Home advantage for Central Cordoba SdE based on 11 home goals scored and 13 conceded

The venue statistics show a low average of only 1.0 goal per game

Both teams are experienced playing on the grass surface at Estadio Alfredo Terrera

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