Liga Profesional de FĂștbol
Gimnasia La Plata - Banfield
09/19/2026, 05:30 PM
Expected Goals
1.7
2.8
1.1
1:1
13%2:1
10%2:0
9%1:2
6%3:1
6%What influences the xG?
Gimnasia La Plata
Banfield
League
The Lab
- 1Gimnasia La Plata: 3.3 cards per game (37 yellows, 3 reds in 12 games)
- 2Banfield: 5 of 12 goals scored by substitutes (last 12 games)
- 3Banfield: 5 goals from minute 80 onwards in the last 12 games (5 of 13 total)
- 4Gimnasia La Plata: first goal in 8 of 12 games (67%)
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
50%
Draw
27%
Away Win
23%
Goals
Over 1.5
79%
Under 1.5
21%
Over 2.5
54%
Under 2.5
46%
Over 3.5
32%
Under 3.5
68%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
77%
Away or Draw
50%
No Draw
73%
Both Score
Yes
57%
No
43%
Key Factors
- Banfield must cope without key players Santiago LĂłpez GarcĂa and TomĂĄs AdoryĂĄn in the starting lineup, leaving them with only 78% of their usual strength
- Gimnasia La Plata averaged 1.4 goals per game recently, whereas Banfield concedes a high average of 1.9 goals away
- The mathematical model predicts a solid home win probability of 50% with 1.72 expected goals for the hosts
Risk Factors
- Both teams were counter-oriented in recent matches with an average of under 40% possession
- Gimnasia La Plata conceded an average of 2.0 goals in recent matches, which is significantly above the season average of 1.31
Overview
Gimnasia La Plata (6th place, 22 points) host Banfield (12th place, 15 points) at the Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo
Liga Profesional de FĂștbol match on September 19, 2026, 5:30 PM
The home side enters this mid-table clash as the favorite
Form
Gimnasia La Plata shows the form LLWWD with a recent 1-1 draw against Argentinos Juniors
The home team recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in their last matches
Banfield travels with the form WLLLD and recently drew 1-1 against Barracas Central
The visitors registered 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in their recent streak
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Statistics
Gimnasia La Plata averages 1.22 goals scored and 1.26 goals conceded per game this season
In home matches, 1.2 goals scored compare to a solid defense with only 0.93 goals conceded
Banfield averages 1.04 goals scored and 1.32 goals conceded in this campaign
Away from home, the visitors concede a high average of 1.9 goals per game while scoring only 1.0
Both teams scored in 13 out of 27 matches played by the home team
Head-to-Head
2 head-to-head matches in history
Gimnasia La Plata won both encounters with a goal difference of 5-1
The last meeting ended in a 2-1 victory for Gimnasia La Plata on March 11, 2026
The home side has dominated previous direct matchups
Key Players
AgustĂn Auzmendi scored 6 goals this season and netted three times in the last five games
Nacho FernĂĄndez contributed 4 assists and shows an upward form trend
NicolĂĄs Barros Schelotto achieves a strong average season rating of 7.18
Lautaro GĂłmez is a key midfield player on the opposing side with 4 goals
Alexander Machado scored 1 goal in 5 appearances this campaign
Ignacio Abraham has already recorded 4 assists in the ongoing season
Goalkeepers
Nelson InsfrĂĄn has kept 8 clean sheets this season
The home team's goalkeeper recorded 5 of those in his own stadium
Banfield fields Marcos Ariel LĂłpez, a goalkeeper with 2 clean sheets away from home
Influences
The home advantage is reflected in a stable defense with only 14 goals conceded in 15 home matches
Matches at the Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo have averaged 2.6 goals per game so far
The natural grass surface suits the playing style of both teams