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Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Instituto - Talleres Córdoba

09/20/2026, 12:15 AM

3 : 1
Expected Goals
Instituto
1.5
Total xG
2.3
Talleres Córdoba
0.7
Most Likely Scores

1:0

14%

1:1

13%

2:0

12%

0:0

12%

2:1

9%
What influences the xG?
INSTC

Instituto

Defensive strength (1 conceded vs 1.2 league avg)
-0.24
3 clean sheets in last 5 matches
-0.15
Rising form (1.5 vs 1.1 season average)
+0.11
3 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1.2 goals/match)
+0.02
Strong home record (1.4 vs 1.1 goals/match)
Full strength squad available

Talleres Córdoba

Defensive weakness (1.3 conceded vs 0.9 league avg)
+0.34
3 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1 goals/match)
-0.07
Valentín Depietri on the bench (4 goals, 1 assists)
28% of goal output missing (only 78% available)
Weak away record (1 vs 1.2 goals/match)

League

Low-scoring league (2.1 goals/match)
-0.37
-0.37
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    Instituto: first goal in 8 of 10 games (80%)

  • 2
    Talleres Córdoba: 3.2 cards per game (33 yellows, 5 reds in 12 games)

  • 3
    Instituto: scored only in H2 in 3 consecutive games (6 of 11 total)

  • 4
    Talleres Córdoba: 6 of 16 goals conceded from minute 76 onwards (last 12 games)

  • 5
    Talleres Córdoba: dropped a lead in 3 of 5 games (7 points lost)

  • 6
    Instituto: 4 goals from minute 80 onwards in the last 11 games (4 of 11 total)

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

54%

Draw

29%

Away Win

17%

Goals

Over 1.5

68%

Under 1.5

32%

Over 2.5

40%

Under 2.5

60%

Over 3.5

20%

Under 3.5

80%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

83%

Away or Draw

46%

No Draw

71%

Both Score

Yes

43%

No

57%

Key Factors
  • Instituto shows positive form and is currently scoring more frequently at 1.5 goals compared to their season average
  • Talleres Córdoba must play without Valentín Depietri leaving them with only 79% of their usual starting strength
  • The mathematical model predicts a home win for Instituto with a 54% probability
Risk Factors
  • Talleres Córdoba averaged 5.4 shots on target in recent matches showing high offensive capabilities
  • Injuries to L. Albarracín, F. Moyano and L. Rafaelli limit the squad depth for Instituto
Overview

Instituto in 9th place with 21 points hosts Talleres Córdoba in 4th place with 26 points

Liga Profesional de Fútbol match on September 20 2026 at 2:15 AM at the Estadio Presidente Juan Domingo Perón

A crucial mid-table versus top-four clash

Form

Instituto shows positive momentum with form WDWLW

They recently secured a 2-1 win against Estudiantes de Río Cuarto

Talleres Córdoba travels with form LDDLW

The away side recently won 2-1 against Unión Santa Fe

W means Win, D means Draw, L means Loss

Statistics

Instituto scores an average of 1.08 goals and concedes 0.92 per season

At home their defense is extremely stable conceding just 0.62 goals per game

Talleres Córdoba averages 1.00 goal scored and 1.00 conceded away from home

Instituto's home record shows 17 goals scored and 10 conceded across 16 home matches

Head-to-Head

4 head-to-head matches in the database

Balanced record with 1 win for Instituto, 1 win for Talleres Córdoba and 2 draws

The last direct meeting ended in a 2-0 home win for Talleres Córdoba

Key Players

Giuliano Cerato is in rising form with a rating of 7.24 and 2 goals in his last 5 games

Alex Luna has recorded 6 goals and 3 assists this season

Leonel Mosevich stands out with an average rating of 7.35 in recent matches

Agustín Álvarez has contributed 2 goals and 1 assist in 4 season appearances

Matías Catalán secures the defense with a solid season rating of 7.01

Ezequiel Unsain displays consistent performance with a rating of 7.30 this season

Goalkeepers

Marcos Ledesma played every minute of the last 5 matches for Instituto

Ezequiel Unsain impresses with a strong season rating of 7.30

Instituto has recorded 9 clean sheets this season

Talleres Córdoba has kept 8 clean sheets so far

Influences

Home advantage for Instituto at the Estadio Presidente Juan Domingo Perón on natural grass

Venue statistics show an average of 2.6 goals per match

Both teams scored in 80% of the games played at this venue

Their home defensive record of just 0.62 goals conceded per game supports their strength

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