Liga Profesional de FĂștbol
Racing Club - Sarmiento
09/19/2026, 12:15 AM
Expected Goals
1.5
2.6
1.1
1:1
14%2:1
9%2:0
8%1:2
7%2:2
5%What influences the xG?
Racing Club
Sarmiento
League
The Lab
- 1Racing Club: 3.3 cards per game (37 yellows, 3 reds in 12 games)
- 2Sarmiento: 7 of 20 goals conceded from minute 76 onwards (last 12 games)
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
44%
Draw
29%
Away Win
26%
Goals
Over 1.5
74%
Under 1.5
26%
Over 2.5
47%
Under 2.5
53%
Over 3.5
25%
Under 3.5
75%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
74%
Away or Draw
56%
No Draw
71%
Both Score
Yes
52%
No
48%
Key Factors
- Form gap: Sarmiento is in much better shape with three wins from their last five matches (WWLWD) compared to Racing Club's four defeats (LDLLL)
- Tactical approaches: Racing Club was highly possession-dominant in recent matches with an average of 65.2% possession, while Sarmiento averaged 33.2% possession playing on the counter
- Away defensive weakness: Sarmiento concedes a very high average of 2.44 goals per away game this season
Risk Factors
- Limited data availability for weather conditions
- Sarmiento's defensive vulnerability on the road with an average of 2.44 goals conceded per away game
- Racing Club's ongoing negative streak with four defeats in their last five matches
Overview
Racing Club hosts Sarmiento at the Estadio Presidente Juan Domingo PerĂłn
Liga Profesional de FĂștbol match on September 19, 2026, 2:15 AM
Racing Club is currently in 7th place with 20 points
Sarmiento occupies 9th place with 19 points
A mid-table clash with only one point separating the teams
Form
Racing Club is struggling with a form string of LDLLL
No wins in their last five matches with four losses and one draw
Sarmiento is in much better form with a record of WWLWD
The visitors secured three wins, one draw, and suffered one defeat recently
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Statistics
Racing Club scores an average of 1.00 goal and concedes 1.19 goals per match this season
At home, the host team averages 1.00 goal scored and 1.25 goals conceded
Sarmiento scores an average of 1.22 goals away from home but concedes 2.44 goals per game
Both teams scored in 16 out of 27 matches played by Racing Club
Venue statistics show an average of 2.0 goals per match
Head-to-Head
Two head-to-head matches in recent history
Sarmiento has recorded one win and one draw
Racing Club is yet to win a direct encounter
The last meeting ended in a 0:0 draw on March 11, 2026
The total goal difference stands at 1:0 in favor of Sarmiento
Key Players
Marcos Rojo stabilizes the defense with an average rating of 6.83 in 16 matches
Midfielder Leonel PĂ©rez has earned a rating of 7.08 in his 5 appearances
MatĂas Zaracho has already scored 3 seasonal goals in his 23 matches
Junior Marabel shines for the visitors with 12 goals and 4 assists in 25 games
JuliĂĄn Mavilla contributed 3 goals in 8 matches with an excellent rating of 7.38
Mauricio MartĂnez appeared 20 times and scored 2 goals this season
Not nominated for the home team: TomĂĄs Conechny (3 goals, 2 assists) and Matko Miljevic (2 goals, 1 assist)
Goalkeepers
Facundo Cambeses is in goal for Racing Club with an average rating of 6.94
The home team recorded a total of 8 clean sheets this season
Thyago Ayala guards the goal for Sarmiento and holds a strong rating of 7.36
The visitors have also enjoyed 8 clean sheets during this campaign
Influences
The match is played on grass at the Estadio Presidente Juan Domingo PerĂłn
Racing Club averages 1.00 goal scored and 1.25 goals conceded at home
Sarmiento's highly vulnerable away defense concedes an average of 2.44 goals per game
Historical venue statistics point to a moderate scoring rate of 2.0 goals per match