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Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Racing Club

10/05/2026, 12:30 AM

1 : 2
Expected Goals
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto
1.0
Total xG
2.1
Racing Club
1.1
Most Likely Scores

1:1

15%

0:0

13%

0:1

11%

1:0

10%

1:2

7%
What influences the xG?
EDRCRC

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto

Rising form (0.8 vs 0.4 season average)
+0.09
Standings disadvantage (pos 15 vs 8, 7 places gap)
-0.08
Attack weakness (0.58x league average)
-0.07
5 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (0.6 goals/match)
+0.04
Strong home record (0.8 vs 0.4 goals/match)
Full strength squad available

Racing Club

Defensive weakness (1.4 conceded vs 0.9 league avg)
+0.45
4 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1.4 goals/match)
+0.04
Standings advantage (pos 8 vs 15, 7 places gap)
+0.04
Matías Zaracho not in squad (3 goals, 1 assists)
Matko Miljevic on the bench (2 goals, 1 assists)
Marcos Rojo not in squad (1 goals, 1 assists)

League

Low-scoring league (2.1 goals/match)
-0.37
-0.37
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    Racing Club: 3.3 cards per game (37 yellows, 3 reds in 12 games)

  • 2
    Estudiantes de Río Cuarto: scored only after the break in 5 of 11 games

  • 3
    Racing Club: dropped a lead in 3 of 5 games (8 points lost)

  • 4
    Estudiantes de Río Cuarto: 5 of 14 goals conceded from minute 76 onwards (last 11 games)

  • 5
    Estudiantes de Río Cuarto: opponent scores first in 6 of 9 games (67%)

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

32%

Draw

33%

Away Win

35%

Goals

Over 1.5

65%

Under 1.5

35%

Over 2.5

36%

Under 2.5

64%

Over 3.5

17%

Under 3.5

83%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

65%

Away or Draw

68%

No Draw

67%

Both Score

Yes

45%

No

55%

Key Factors
  • Form and strength: Racing Club (1.07 season goals on average) face an extremely low-scoring home attack (0.38 season goals)
  • Tactical advantage: Racing Club averaged 5.6 shots on target recently, showing more offensive activity than the hosts who averaged 3.2 shots on target
  • Extremely low-scoring venue: Estadio Ciudad de Río Cuarto averaged just 0.8 goals per match, with a 0% BTTS rate in the last 5 games
Risk Factors
  • Extreme low scoring from hosts: Estudiantes de Río Cuarto score an average of just 0.38 goals per game at home (homeGoalsScoredAvg)
  • Highly unpredictable outcome: The calculated probabilities for a home win (32%), draw (33%), and away win (35%) are extremely close
Overview

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto (15th place, 5 points) host Racing Club (8th place, 21 points)

Liga Profesional de Fútbol match on October 5, 2026, 12:30 AM

The hosts struggle at the bottom of the table while Racing Club seek to climb higher

Form

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto show weak form: DDLLL

Recent results include 0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses

Racing Club enter with a form trend of DLLLW

With 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses, their recent run has also been inconsistent

Statistics

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto average just 0.38 goals scored per game this season

Defensively, they concede an average of 1.42 goals per match

Racing Club average 1.07 goals scored per game

The visitors concede an average of 1.18 goals per match

Head-to-Head

There has been 1 head-to-head match between the teams

Racing Club won that match 2-0 away from home

The historical goal difference is 0-2 in favor of the visitors

Key Players

Gabriel Alanís stabilizes the midfield with a rating of 6.84 and 2 goals this season

Matías Valenti convinces in defense with a recent improved rating of 7.02

Ibrahim Hesar contributed 1 goal this season

Adrián Martínez leads the visitors' attack with 5 goals this season

Ulises Ortegoza shines in midfield with 1 goal and 2 assists

Leonel Pérez is in strong form with a recent rating of 7.09

Not nominated for the visitors: Matías Zaracho, Matko Miljevic, Marcos Rojo

Goalkeepers

Facundo Cambeses guards the goal for Racing Club with 28 seasonal appearances

The hosts have kept a total of 6 clean sheets this season

Racing Club have managed to keep a clean sheet in 8 matches

Influences

The match is played on natural grass at the Estadio Ciudad de Río Cuarto

The venue averages an extremely low 0.8 goals per game

None of the last 5 home games at this venue saw both teams score

The weather is mild at 20.77°C with overcast clouds

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