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Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Huracán - Aldosivi

10/04/2026, 05:45 PM

1 : 0
Expected Goals
Huracán
1.7
Total xG
2.5
Aldosivi
0.8
Most Likely Scores

1:1

13%

1:0

12%

2:0

11%

0:0

10%

2:1

10%
What influences the xG?
HURALD

Huracán

Attack strength (1.27x league average)
+0.64
Standings advantage (pos 7 vs 14, 7 places gap)
+0.06
3 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1.2 goals/match)
-0.05
Jordy Caicedo not in squad (13 goals, 0 assists)
César Ibáñez on the bench (0 goals, 3 assists)
41% of goal output missing (only 71% available)

Aldosivi

Defensive weakness (1.7 conceded vs 0.9 league avg)
+0.73
3 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1.8 goals/match)
+0.28
Rising form (1.8 vs 0.9 season average)
+0.28
Standings disadvantage (pos 14 vs 7, 7 places gap)
-0.06

League

Low-scoring league (2.2 goals/match)
-0.35
-0.35
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    Aldosivi: dropped a lead in 5 of 6 games (13 points lost)

  • 2
    Huracán: 3 cards per game (30 yellows, 3 reds in 11 games)

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

55%

Draw

27%

Away Win

17%

Goals

Over 1.5

73%

Under 1.5

27%

Over 2.5

46%

Under 2.5

54%

Over 3.5

24%

Under 3.5

76%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

83%

Away or Draw

45%

No Draw

73%

Both Score

Yes

47%

No

53%

Key Factors
  • Mathematical analysis predicts a 56% home win probability for Huracán
  • Aldosivi averaged 5.4 shots on target per match in recent games
  • Huracán currently scores more frequently at an average of 1.5 goals compared to their season average
Risk Factors
  • Aldosivi concede an average of 1.85 goals per away game
  • Aldosivi have failed to keep a clean sheet in all 13 away matches this season
  • Huracán averaged only 3.4 shots on target per match in recent games
Overview

Huracán (7th place, 22 points) host Aldosivi (14th place, 8 points) at Estadio Tomás Adolfo Ducó

Liga Profesional de Fútbol match on October 4, 2026, 6:45 PM

Huracán enter as favorites against winless Aldosivi

Form

Huracán are unbeaten in 5 matches with a form of DDDWW

Aldosivi recorded 2 wins and 3 losses recently with a form of LLWLW

Both teams won their respective last match

Statistics

Huracán score an average of 1.07 goals per game this season and concede 0.86

Aldosivi average 0.69 goals scored and 1.35 conceded per match

In 14 home games, Huracán have conceded only 10 goals

Head-to-Head

Out of 3 head-to-head matches, there were 2 draws and 1 win for Aldosivi

The goal difference stands at 3:5 from Huracán's perspective

The last encounter ended in a 0-0 draw on March 16, 2026

Key Players

For Huracán, Óscar Cortés shines with 3 goals and 5 assists, while Lucas Blondel has 2 goals

Facundo Waller has already contributed 2 goals this season

Not selected are Jordy Caicedo with 13 goals and César Ibáñez with 3 assists

Goalkeepers

Huracán goalkeeper Sebastián Meza is set for his second appearance of the season, while the team has kept 11 clean sheets so far

Away goalkeeper Lucas Acosta has made 7 seasonal appearances, with Aldosivi recording 6 clean sheets overall

Influences

The match will be played on natural grass at the Estadio Tomás Adolfo Ducó

The weather on match day is clear sky at 19.74°C with 49% humidity

In recent matches at this stadium, an average of only 1.2 goals were scored

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