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Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Talleres Córdoba - Belgrano

10/04/2026, 08:00 PM

0 : 1
Expected Goals
Talleres Córdoba
1.6
Total xG
3.3
Belgrano
1.6
Most Likely Scores

1:1

11%

2:1

8%

1:2

8%

2:2

7%

2:0

5%
What influences the xG?
TCBEL

Talleres Córdoba

Attack strength (1.22x league average)
+0.72
Defensive weakness (1.4 conceded vs 1.2 league avg)
+0.14
3 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1 goals/match)
-0.07
Agustín Álvarez not in squad (2 goals, 1 assists)

Belgrano

Attack strength (1.34x league average)
+1.04
4 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1 goals/match)
-0.12
Defensive weakness (0.9 conceded vs 0.9 league avg)
-0.01
Nicolás Fernández on the bench (6 goals, 4 assists)
Weak away record (1.1 vs 1.4 goals/match)

League

Low-scoring league (2.1 goals/match)
-0.36
-0.36
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    Belgrano: 8 of 15 goals scored by substitutes (last 12 games)

  • 2
    Belgrano: 7 goals from minute 80 onwards in 12 games. Against Estudiantes de Río Cuarto: 2 goals (82', 90+5')

  • 3
    Talleres Córdoba: 3.2 cards per game (32 yellows, 6 reds in 12 games)

  • 4
    Belgrano: 4 comebacks in 6 games after trailing past minute 75 (8 points rescued)

  • 5
    Talleres Córdoba: 10 of 12 games without conceding in H1, but only 2 over 90 minutes

  • 6
    Belgrano: 80% of all goals in the second half (12 of 15, last 12 games)

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

38%

Draw

26%

Away Win

37%

Goals

Over 1.5

85%

Under 1.5

15%

Over 2.5

64%

Under 2.5

36%

Over 3.5

41%

Under 3.5

59%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

63%

Away or Draw

62%

No Draw

74%

Both Score

Yes

66%

No

34%

Key Factors
  • Belgrano recently dominated offensively, averaging 6.0 shots on target per match
  • Historical dominance favors Belgrano, who are unbeaten in their last 5 head-to-head matches against Talleres Córdoba
  • The mathematical model predicts a high probability of 66% for both teams to score
Risk Factors
  • Talleres Córdoba average only 1.00 goal scored per home match
  • Absence of top scorer Nicolás Fernández for Belgrano, who is missing with 6 goals
  • Belgrano's goalkeeper Manuel Vicentini has only played 1 match this season
Overview

Talleres Córdoba (4th place, 26 points) host Belgrano (5th place, 26 points)

Liga Profesional de Fútbol match on October 4, 2026, 10:00 PM at Estadio Juan Domingo Perón

Both teams compete for crucial points in the upper third of the table

Form

Talleres Córdoba form: DDLWL (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

The hosts recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses in their last matches

Belgrano form: LDDDW

The visitors secured 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss

Statistics

Talleres Córdoba score an average of 1.00 goal and concede 1.07 goals per home game

Belgrano average 1.17 goals scored and 1.00 goal conceded in away matches

Talleres Córdoba recorded 8 clean sheets this season

Belgrano secured 14 clean sheets in their league campaign

Head-to-Head

Historical record of 5 head-to-head matches

0 wins for Talleres Córdoba, 1 win for Belgrano, and 4 draws

Goal difference of 1 to 2 goals from the hosts' perspective

The last meeting on May 9, 2026 ended in a 0-1 victory for Belgrano

Key Players

Valentín Depietri with 4 goals and 1 assist this season

Rick contributed 4 goals and 2 assists so far

Augusto Schott has scored 3 goals this season

Lucas Zelarayán shines with 4 goals and 4 assists

Francisco González Metilli has scored 4 goals this season

Lucas Passerini recorded 3 goals and 7 assists

Not nominated: Agustín Álvarez and Nicolás Fernández

Goalkeepers

Ezequiel Unsain is in goal for Talleres Córdoba, boasting a season average rating of 7.23

Manuel Vicentini guards the net for Belgrano with only one appearance this season

Talleres Córdoba have recorded 8 clean sheets this season

Belgrano have registered 14 clean sheets during this league campaign

Influences

The match is played on natural grass at the Estadio Juan Domingo Perón

The venue averages 2.80 goals per match with an Over 2.5 goals rate of 80%

Weather conditions are overcast with mild temperatures of 19 degrees Celsius

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