Match report →
Deportivo Riestra – Talleres Córdoba0 : 3
Why the model thinks so
Deportivo Riestra
0.84
Total xG
1.91
Talleres Córdoba
1.07
Expected goals from our model, before kickoff
How the model gets there: each factor adds goals to or takes goals from one team's expected goals.
| Factor | Deportivo Riestra | Talleres Córdoba |
|---|---|---|
| Defensive weakness (1.4 conceded vs 1 league avg) | +0.42 | |
| Low-scoring league (2.2 goals/match) | −0.34 | −0.34 |
| 5 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (0.6 goals/match) | −0.17 | |
| Declining form (0.8 vs 1.2 season average) | −0.12 | |
| Standings disadvantage (pos 15 vs 4, 11 places gap) | −0.10 | |
| 5 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (0.4 goals/match) | −0.07 | |
| Standings advantage (pos 4 vs 15, 11 places gap) | +0.06 | |
| Declining form (0.5 vs 0.6 season average) | −0.04 | |
| Giovanni Baroni on the bench (0 goals, 3 assists) | ||
| Strong home record (1.1 vs 0.6 goals/match) | ||
| Weak away record (0.9 vs 1.2 goals/match) |
Key factors
- Table: Talleres Córdoba are 4th with 26 points in 16 matches, Deportivo Riestra 15th with 11 points in 16 matches
- Possession: Talleres Córdoba averaged 51.8% possession in the last 5 matches, Deportivo Riestra 32.8% per match
- Attack: Deportivo Riestra scored 0.5 goals per match in the league this season, Talleres Córdoba scores 1 goal per match away
Risks
- Form: Talleres Córdoba are winless in their last 5 matches with 1 draw and 4 losses
- Defense: Talleres Córdoba conceded 1.2 goals per match away in the league this season
All probabilities
Result
Deportivo Riestra26%
Draw35%
Talleres Córdoba39%
Double chance
Deportivo Riestra or draw61%
Talleres Córdoba or draw74%
No draw65%
Goals
Over 1.559%
Under 1.541%
Over 2.530%
Under 2.570%
Over 3.513%
Under 3.587%
Both teams score
Yes39%
No61%
xG score
0:1
From xG 0.84 : 1.07, rounded up only from .914% probability
Other likely scores
0:0
17%
1:1
15%
1:0
11%
0:2
9%
0:3
Final score
The Lab
Patterns our system found in the data.
- Talleres Córdoba: dropped a lead in 3 of 5 games (8 points lost)
Lineups
Deportivo Riestra 3-4-2-1 · Talleres Córdoba 3-4-3
Deportivo Riestra
- 23 M. Arzamendia Espinoza
- 24 F. Miño
- 2 C. Quintana
- 22 C. Paz
- 5 P. Ramírez
- 16 N. Watson
- 8 M. Céliz
- 36 M. Bracamonte
- 11 A. Díaz
- 10 B. Sánchez
- 7 A. Alonso Espinoza
Talleres Córdoba
- 32 L. Unsain
- 4 M. Catalán
- 6 R. Riquelme
- 13 V. Fascendini
- 20 A. Schott
- 8 F. Fattori Mouzo
- 5 M. Galarza
- 3 A. Maidana Mendieta
- 11 V. Depietri
- 9 A. Álvarez Martínez
- 37 R. Lima Morais
Substitutes
- 21 T. González
- 19 J. Randazzo
- 40 G. Obredor
- 12 I. López
- 27 J. Goitía
- 14 P. Monje
- 13 R. Gallo
- 9 G. Benegas
- 18 B. Pérez
- 6 I. Gariglio
- 20 T. Lauro
- 29 M. Graneros
- 23 G. Báez Corradi
- 49 V. Dávila
- 7 D. Valoyes Ruíz
- 2 T. Chamorro
- 36 E. Chiavassa
- 1 S. Barbi
- 15 J. Sforza
- 26 M. Caceres
- 10 G. Baroni
- 44 S. Fernández
- 39 L. Fabián Ortiz
- 25 T. Baroni
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