Match report →
Platense – Central Cordoba SdE2 : 0
Why the model thinks so
Platense
1.52
Total xG
2.47
Central Cordoba SdE
0.95
Expected goals from our model, before kickoff
How the model gets there: each factor adds goals to or takes goals from one team's expected goals.
| Factor | Platense | Central Cordoba SdE |
|---|---|---|
| Defensive weakness (1.7 conceded vs 1 league avg) | +0.72 | |
| Low-scoring league (2.2 goals/match) | −0.32 | −0.32 |
| 3 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1.2 goals/match) | +0.10 | |
| Rising form (1.2 vs 0.8 season average) | +0.10 | |
| 3 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1 goals/match) | +0.01 | |
| Bautista Merlini on the bench (3 goals, 1 assists) | ||
| Marco Iacobellis not in squad (1 goals, 2 assists) | ||
| Alejandro Maciel not in squad (1 goals, 1 assists) |
Key factors
- Form: Central Cordoba SdE winless in their last 5 matches with 3 draws and 2 losses, Platense recorded 1 win
- Away: Central Cordoba SdE scored 0.47 goals per match in 15 away matches in the league this season
Risks
- Home: Platense scored 0.6 goals per match and conceded 1.27 goals per match in 15 home matches in the league this season
- Season record: Platense recorded 6 wins in 30 league matches this season, Central Cordoba SdE 6 wins in 30 matches
All probabilities
Result
Platense49%
Draw29%
Central Cordoba SdE22%
Double chance
Platense or draw78%
Central Cordoba SdE or draw51%
No draw71%
Goals
Over 1.572%
Under 1.528%
Over 2.545%
Under 2.555%
Over 3.524%
Under 3.576%
Both teams score
Yes50%
No50%
xG score
1:1
From xG 1.52 : 0.95, rounded up only from .914% probability
Other likely scores
1:0
11%
0:0
10%
2:0
10%
2:1
9%
The Lab
Patterns our system found in the data.
- Central Cordoba SdE: opponent scores first in 10 of 11 games (91%)
- Platense: opponent scores first in 9 of 12 games (75%)
- Platense: 4 of 11 goals scored by substitutes (last 12 games)
- Central Cordoba SdE: scored only after the break in 5 of 12 games
- Platense: scored only in H2 in 3 consecutive games (5 of 12 total)
Lineups
Platense 4-2-3-1 · Central Cordoba SdE 4-4-2
Platense
- 30 J. Cozzani
- 4 A. Lagos
- 13 I. Vázquez
- 31 V. Cuesta
- 3 T. Silva
- 26 P. Ferreira
- 5 I. Gómez
- 7 G. Mainero
- 10 F. Zapiola
- 43 N. Retamar
- 99 G. Lencina
Central Cordoba SdE
- 1 A. Aguerre
- 33 A. Moyano
- 17 Y. Casermeiro
- 32 N. Garrido
- 23 J. Cáceres Ovelar
- 20 F. Martínez Sánchez
- 22 M. Vera
- 41 Enzo Tiziano Ramirez Suarez
- 7 D. Barrera
- 27 M. Santos Rosadilla
- 28 L. Sequeira
Substitutes
- 33 J. Gauto
- 79 B. Sepúlveda
- 21 A. Lotti
- 34 M. Mendia
- 27 S. Dalmasso
- 18 B. Merlini
- 15 F. Amarfil
- 1 B. Bustos
- 6 E. Raggio
- 25 J. Saborido
- 38 A. Ingenthron
- 16 G. Togni
- 26 L. Bernabéu
- 25 J. Vallejos
- 3 L. Marchi Rivero
- 30 F. Ariel Rodriguez Salomon
- 47 M. Cuitiño
- 43 Ignacio Santillán
- 44 Kevin Ibañez
Ready to Get Started?
Create an account and discover data-driven football analyses. Cancel anytime.
Create Account →