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Central Cordoba SdE – Lanús1 : 1
Why the model thinks so
Central Cordoba SdE
1.22
Total xG
2.93
Lanús
1.71
Expected goals from our model, before kickoff
How the model gets there: each factor adds goals to or takes goals from one team's expected goals.
| Factor | Central Cordoba SdE | Lanús |
|---|---|---|
| Attack strength (1.23x league average) | +0.99 | |
| Defensive weakness (1.7 conceded vs 1.2 league avg) | +0.49 | |
| Low-scoring league (2.2 goals/match) | −0.32 | −0.32 |
| 3 clean sheets in last 5 matches | −0.15 | |
| Standings disadvantage (pos 13 vs 6, 7 places gap) | −0.09 | |
| 4 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1 goals/match) | −0.09 | |
| Standings advantage (pos 6 vs 13, 7 places gap) | +0.06 | |
| 4 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (0.8 goals/match) | −0.00 | |
| Alejandro Maciel not in squad (1 goals, 1 assists) | ||
| Matías Sepúlveda not in squad (0 goals, 3 assists) | ||
| Strong home record (1 vs 0.8 goals/match) |
Key factors
- Form: Lanús unbeaten in their last 5 matches with 2 wins and 3 draws, Central Cordoba SdE without a win in 5 matches
- Table: Lanús is 6th in the league with 24 points from 16 matches, Central Cordoba SdE is 13th with 16 points
Risks
- Defence: Lanús conceded 0.4 goals per match in their last 5 matches
All probabilities
Result
Central Cordoba SdE26%
Draw27%
Lanús47%
Double chance
Central Cordoba SdE or draw53%
Lanús or draw74%
No draw73%
Goals
Over 1.580%
Under 1.520%
Over 2.556%
Under 2.544%
Over 3.534%
Under 3.566%
Both teams score
Yes59%
No41%
xG score
1:1
From xG 1.22 : 1.71, rounded up only from .913% probability
Other likely scores
1:2
10%
0:2
8%
2:1
7%
2:2
6%
The Lab
Patterns our system found in the data.
- Central Cordoba SdE: opponent scores first in 11 of 11 games (100%)
- Lanús: first goal in 8 of 11 games (73%)
- Lanús: 75% of all goals in the second half (12 of 16, last 12 games)
- Central Cordoba SdE: scored only after the break in 5 of 12 games
Lineups
Central Cordoba SdE 4-2-3-1 · Lanús 4-2-3-1
Central Cordoba SdE
- 1 A. Aguerre
- 20 F. Martínez Sánchez
- 32 N. Garrido
- 23 J. Cáceres Ovelar
- 22 M. Vera
- 41 Enzo Tiziano Ramirez Suarez
- 28 L. Sequeira
- 10 M. Iacobellis
- 7 D. Barrera
- 27 M. Santos Rosadilla
Lanús
- 26 N. Losada
- 33 T. Guidara
- 24 C. Izquierdoz
- 35 R. Dejesús López
- 6 S. Marcich
- 15 R. Loaiza Morelos
- 5 F. Peña Biafore
- 77 L. Besozzi
- 10 D. Moreno
- 11 E. Salvio
- 20 A. Wlk Dure
Substitutes
- 26 L. Bernabéu
- 25 J. Vallejos
- 17 Y. Casermeiro
- 3 L. Marchi Rivero
- 30 F. Ariel Rodriguez Salomon
- 47 M. Cuitiño
- 43 Ignacio Santillán
- 44 Kevin Ibañez
- 27 F. Sánchez
- 4 Gonzalo Pérez
- 1 F. Petroli
- 19 Y. Valois Murillo
- 23 R. Carrera
- 8 F. Watson
- 3 N. Morgantini
- 38 B. Acosta
- 39 T. Laplace
- 40 T. López
- 42 G. Lobos
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