đŸ‡§đŸ‡·

Serie A

Santos - Remo

04/02/2026, 10:00 PM

2 : 0
Expected Goals
Santos
1.4
Total xG
2.5
Remo
1.1
Most Likely Scores

1:1

14%

0:0

10%

1:0

10%

2:1

9%

2:0

8%
What influences the xG?
SANREM

Santos

Attack weakness (0.6x league average)
-0.41
Small sample (4 matches) - regression to mean
+0.17
3 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1.2 goals/match)
-0.07
Gabriel Barbosa not in squad (3 goals, 0 assists)

Remo

Defensive weakness (1.9 conceded vs 1 league avg)
+0.83
4 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1 goals/match)
-0.07
Small sample (4 matches) - regression to mean
+0.04
Vitor Bueno on the bench (2 goals, 1 assists)
Patrick de Paula not in squad (0 goals, 2 assists)
Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

42%

Draw

30%

Away Win

28%

Goals

Over 1.5

72%

Under 1.5

28%

Over 2.5

45%

Under 2.5

55%

Over 3.5

24%

Under 3.5

76%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

72%

Away or Draw

58%

No Draw

70%

Both Score

Yes

51%

No

49%

Key Factors
  • Pipeline prediction: The mathematical analysis indicates a home win with a 42% probability
  • Remo's away defense: Remo concedes an average of 4.5 goals per away game
  • Remo's goal production: Remo's goal production has recently stalled, averaging 1.0 goals compared to the season average of 1.3
Risk Factors
  • Santos' shots on target: Santos averaged 2.4 shots on target in their last 5 games
  • Limited data: No head-to-head data for the two teams is available
Overview

Santos (17th place, 7 points) host Remo (20th place, 6 points) in a Serie A relegation battle. The match takes place on April 2, 2026, 11:00 PM. Both teams are fighting against relegation, with Santos just ahead of Remo in the table.

Form

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

Santos shows a form of WDDLD, with 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss from the last five matches

The last result was a draw

Remo has a form of DLLLW, consisting of 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses

The last result was a win

Statistics

Santos scored an average of 1.25 goals per game and conceded 1.63 goals per game this season

Remo has a goal difference of 1.25 goals per game and conceded an average of 1.88 goals

Santos has scored in 7 out of 8 games this season, while Remo failed to score in 4 out of 8 games

At home, Santos scored 1.25 goals and conceded 1.25 goals

Remo scored 1.5 goals away and conceded an average of 4.5 goals

Head-to-Head

No direct duels between these two teams were found in the provided dataset.

Key Players

Neymar  (Midfielder) scored 3 goals and provided 1 assist in 3 season appearances, with an average rating of 7.69 and stable form

Álvaro Barreal (Attacker) has scored 1 goal in 8 appearances, his average rating is 6.86 and his form is stable

Thaciano (Midfielder) scored 1 goal in 6 appearances, with an average rating of 6.85 and stable form

Not nominated: Gabriel Barbosa (3G/0A)

For Remo, Alef Manga (Attacker) shines with 2 goals and 3 assists in 8 appearances, with an average rating of 7.16, although his form trend is declining

Gabriel Taliari (Attacker) scored 2 goals in 2 appearances, with an average rating of 7.02 and stable form

JajĂĄ (Attacker) scored 1 goal in 5 appearances, with an average rating of 6.7 and stable form

Not nominated: Vitor Bueno (2G/1A), Patrick de Paula (0G/2A)

Goalkeepers

Santos goalkeeper Gabriel BrazĂŁo has kept 1 clean sheet this season

Marcelo Rangel of Remo has recorded 0 clean sheets this season

Influences

Santos scored an average of 1.25 goals at home and conceded 1.25 goals per home game

Ready to Get Started?

Create an account and discover data-driven football analyses. Cancel anytime.