Serie A
Grêmio - Remo
04/05/2026, 11:30 PM
Expected Goals
1.7
2.6
0.9
1:1
13%2:0
10%2:1
10%3:0
6%1:2
5%What influences the xG?
Grêmio
Remo
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
53%
Draw
27%
Away Win
19%
Goals
Over 1.5
74%
Under 1.5
26%
Over 2.5
48%
Under 2.5
52%
Over 3.5
26%
Under 3.5
74%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
81%
Away or Draw
47%
No Draw
73%
Both Score
Yes
50%
No
50%
Key Factors
- The mathematical analysis predicts a home win with 53% probability
- Grêmio scores an average of 1.67 goals at home this season, while Remo concedes an average of 3.67 goals away
- Grêmio's goal production has recently stalled with an average of 1.2 goals, compared to their season average of 1.6 goals
- Remo's goal production has also recently stalled with an average of 0.8 goals, compared to their season average of 1.1 goals
Risk Factors
- Grêmio had only 2 days of rest since their last match
- Remo had only 3 days of rest since their last match
- Remo concedes an average of 3.67 goals per away game (awayGoalsConcededAvg)
Overview
Grêmio (11th place, 11 points) hosts Remo (20th place, 6 points) in a Serie A match
The game takes place on April 5, 2026, 8:30 PM
Grêmio aims to improve its league position, while Remo is at the bottom of the table fighting to catch up
Form
Grêmio's form across all competitions is "DDWLL"
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
In their last five games, Grêmio recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses
Their last two results were losses
Remo's form across all competitions is "LLLWL"
In their last five games, Remo achieved 1 win and 4 losses
Their last result was a loss
Statistics
Grêmio scores an average of 1.56 goals and concedes 1.56 goals per game this season
In home games, Grêmio is offensive with an average of 1.67 goals and defensively solid with 0.83 goals conceded per home game
Remo scores an average of 1.11 goals and concedes 1.89 goals per game this season
In away games, Remo is weaker with an average of 1.0 goals scored and 3.67 goals conceded per away game
Grêmio had 7 matches where both teams scored and 5 matches with over 2.5 goals
Remo had 4 matches where both teams scored and 4 matches with over 2.5 goals
Head-to-Head
The provided dataset does not list any previous head-to-head meetings between Grêmio and Remo
Key Players
For Grêmio, Carlos Vinícius is an important offensive player with 6 season goals and 0 assists (average rating 7.07) and stable form
Francis Amuzu contributed 1 goal and 2 assists (average rating 6.97) and shows stable form
Juan Nardoni scored 1 goal and 1 assist (average rating 6.67) and also has stable form
For Remo, Alef Manga is a key player with 2 season goals and 3 assists (average rating 7.16), although his form is declining
Gabriel Taliari has scored 2 goals in 2 season appearances (average rating 7.02) and has stable form
Yago Pikachu contributed 1 season goal (average rating 6.63) and his form is stable
Goalkeepers
Grêmio's goalkeeper, Weverton, recorded 1 clean sheet this season
Marcelo Rangel, Remo's goalkeeper, has not kept a clean sheet this season
Influences
Grêmio has a home advantage with an average of 1.67 home goals scored and only 0.83 goals conceded per home game
Remo concedes an average of 3.67 goals per away game and scores only 1.0 away goals