Serie A
Mirassol - Bragantino
04/05/2026, 11:00 PM
Expected Goals
1.2
2.8
1.6
1:1
13%1:2
9%0:2
7%2:1
7%2:2
6%What influences the xG?
Mirassol
Bragantino
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
28%
Draw
28%
Away Win
44%
Goals
Over 1.5
79%
Under 1.5
21%
Over 2.5
54%
Under 2.5
46%
Over 3.5
32%
Under 3.5
68%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
56%
Away or Draw
72%
No Draw
72%
Both Score
Yes
58%
No
42%
Key Factors
- The pipeline analysis favors Bragantino with a 44% win probability compared to 28% for Mirassol
- Mirassol's goal production is stagnant with 0.8 goals in recent games, while Bragantino has increased to 1.2 goals per game
- Bragantino historically dominates direct encounters with 1 win and 1 draw from 2 matches
Risk Factors
- Bragantino had only 2 days of rest since their last match
- Bragantino's defense conceded an average of 2.5 goals per away game
- Only 67% of Bragantino's usual goal production is currently available
Overview
Mirassol (19th place, 6 points) hosts Bragantino (12th place, 11 points) in a Serie A match
The game is scheduled for April 6, 2026, 12:00 AM
Mirassol is fighting at the bottom of the table, while Bragantino is positioned in the mid-table of the league
Form
Mirassol is currently in poor form with 4 consecutive losses (DLLLL)
Overall, Mirassol has 0 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses from their last 5 games
Bragantino recently improved and won their last match (DLLLW)
Bragantino's form in the last 5 games is 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
The analysis of current data confirms Mirassol's negative form trend
Bragantino, on the other hand, shows a positive form trend
Statistics
Mirassol scores an average of 1.25 goals per game and concedes an average of 1.63 goals per game this season
Bragantino scores an average of 1.0 goals per game and concedes 1.11 goals per game
Mirassol has not kept any clean sheets this season
Bragantino has kept 3 clean sheets
In home games, Mirassol averages 1.2 goals scored and 1.2 goals conceded
Away from home, Bragantino scores 1.0 goals and concedes an average of 2.5 goals per game
Mirassol's matches have seen both teams score in 5 games and over 2.5 goals in 5 games
Bragantino's matches have seen both teams score in 4 games and over 2.5 goals in 3 games
Head-to-Head
In 2 head-to-head matches, Bragantino secured 1 win and there was 1 draw
Mirassol has not yet won any of the direct encounters
The goal difference is 1:2 in favor of Bragantino
The last meeting ended in a 1:1 draw on October 1, 2025
Key Players
For Mirassol, Igor Formiga is in good form with 3 season goals and 2 goals in the last 5 games, with an average rating of 7.07
Shaylon contributed 1 goal and 1 assist this season, with a rating of 6.91
Alesson has provided 2 assists this season and has a rating of 6.79
Not in the squad for Mirassol: Negueba (2 goals, 0 assists)
For Bragantino, Juninho Capixaba is important with 2 season goals and 1 assist, most recently with 1 goal and 1 assist with a rating of 7.30
Henry Mosquera has 1 assist this season and achieves a rating of 7.20
Lucas Barbosa scored 1 goal this season and 1 goal recently, with a rating of 7.05
Goalkeepers
Walter, Mirassol's goalkeeper, has not managed to keep a clean sheet in any game this season
Tiago Volpi, Bragantino's goalkeeper, achieved an average rating of 7.90 in his appearance this season
Bragantino has achieved a total of 3 clean sheets this season
Influences
Mirassol averages 1.2 goals scored and 1.2 goals conceded in home games
Bragantino scores 1.0 goals and concedes an average of 2.5 goals per game away from home