Serie A
Cruzeiro - Bragantino
04/12/2026, 09:30 PM
Expected Goals
1.1
2.3
1.2
1:1
15%0:0
12%0:1
11%1:0
9%1:2
8%What influences the xG?
Cruzeiro
Bragantino
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
30%
Draw
32%
Away Win
38%
Goals
Over 1.5
68%
Under 1.5
32%
Over 2.5
40%
Under 2.5
60%
Over 3.5
20%
Under 3.5
80%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
62%
Away or Draw
70%
No Draw
68%
Both Score
Yes
48%
No
52%
Key Factors
- Bragantino is favored by the mathematical analysis with a 38% win probability compared to 30% for Cruzeiro
- Both teams show positive attacking form trends: Cruzeiro is currently scoring more often (2.0) than their season average (1.3)
- Bragantino is currently scoring more often (1.2) than their season average (1.0)
- Cruzeiro is possession-dominant at home with an average of 59% possession and 4.8 shots on target
Overview
Cruzeiro (19th place, 7 points) hosts Bragantino (9th place, 14 points) in a Serie A match on April 12, 2026, 6:30 PM
Cruzeiro is in the relegation zone and desperately needs points
Bragantino is looking to consolidate its position in the upper half of the table
Form
Cruzeiro's form across all competitions is DLDWL
Cruzeiro's last five matches resulted in a loss, a win, a draw, a loss, and a draw
Bragantino's form across all competitions is LLLWW
Bragantino's last five matches resulted in a win, a win, a loss, a loss, and a loss
Bragantino is currently on a two-game winning streak
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Statistics
Cruzeiro averages 1.2 goals scored per game and concedes an average of 2 goals per game
The team kept 2 clean sheets and had over 2.5 goals in 7 matches
Bragantino averages 1.0 goals scored per game and concedes an average of 1.0 goals per game
Bragantino kept 4 clean sheets and had over 2.5 goals in 3 matches
At home, Cruzeiro averages 1.14 goals scored and concedes 0.86 goals per match
Away from home, Bragantino averages 1.0 goals scored and concedes 1.67 goals per match
Head-to-Head
In 4 head-to-head matches, Cruzeiro has 2 wins, Bragantino has 1 win, and there has been 1 draw
Cruzeiro scored 5 goals, while Bragantino scored 4 goals
The last encounter on September 21, 2025, ended with a 2-1 victory for Cruzeiro
Cruzeiro has been the more dominant team in recent direct matchups
Key Players
For Cruzeiro, midfielder Christian is a key player with 3 season goals and 1 assist, showing a rising form trend
Matheus Pereira, also a midfielder, has scored 2 goals and provided 1 assist, but his form is declining
Attacker Néiser Villarreal contributes with 2 season goals and shows stable form
For Bragantino, defender Juninho Capixaba is a notable player with 2 goals and 2 assists
Forward Lucas Barbosa has contributed 2 goals and 1 assist, displaying stable form
Attacker Isidro Pitta is also an important offensive player with 2 goals
Goalkeepers
Cruzeiro's goalkeeper Matheus Cunha has made 6 season appearances
Cruzeiro has recorded 2 clean sheets this season
Bragantino's goalkeeper Tiago Volpi has featured in 3 season games
Bragantino has recorded 4 clean sheets this season
Influences
Cruzeiro scored 8 goals and conceded 6 goals in 7 home games
Bragantino scored 3 goals and conceded 5 goals in 3 away games