Serie A
Remo - Cruzeiro
04/25/2026, 09:30 PM
Expected Goals
1.4
2.7
1.3
1:1
14%2:1
8%1:2
8%2:0
6%0:2
6%What influences the xG?
Remo
Cruzeiro
The Lab
- 1Remo with Gabriel Taliari: 1.4 goals/90 min. Without: 0 goals/90 min (6 of 8 games)
- 2Cruzeiro with KauĂŁ Moraes: 5.5 goals/90 min. Without: 0.7 goals/90 min (5 of 8 games)
- 3Cruzeiro: scored only after the break in 3 of 8 games
- 4Cruzeiro: 3 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 8 games)
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
37%
Draw
29%
Away Win
34%
Goals
Over 1.5
76%
Under 1.5
24%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5
50%
Over 3.5
28%
Under 3.5
72%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
66%
Away or Draw
63%
No Draw
71%
Both Score
Yes
56%
No
44%
Key Factors
- Significant weakening for Remo: Only 43% of the usual starting XI's goal threat is available without Alef Manga and Gabriel Taliari
- Cruzeiro's extreme away defensive weakness: An average of 4.67 goals conceded per away game this season
- Cruzeiro shows positive form and trend: Three wins in the last five games and currently 2.0 goals per game, an increase from their season average of 1.5 goals
Risk Factors
- Remo generally shows a high vulnerability in defense, conceding an average of 1.83 goals per game
- Cruzeiro must do without F. Soares de Faria, M. Costa Pereira, and L. Silva Borges due to yellow card suspensions
Overview
Remo (19th place, 8 points) hosts Cruzeiro (16th place, 13 points) in Serie A
The match takes place on April 25, 2026, 9:30 PM (UTC)
Both teams are in the lower half of the table, with Remo in a relegation spot and Cruzeiro just above it
Form
Remo's current form is WLDDL, meaning 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses in the last 5 matches
Their last game resulted in a 2-4 loss away against Bragantino
Cruzeiro's form is DWLWW, with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in their last 5 matches
Cruzeiro last won 2-0 at home against GrĂȘmio
Remo has one consecutive loss, while Cruzeiro has achieved two consecutive wins
(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
Statistics
Remo scores an average of 1.08 goals and concedes 1.83 goals per game this season
At home, Remo scores an average of 1.14 goals and concedes 1.0 goals
Cruzeiro scores an average of 1.33 goals and concedes 1.75 goals per game this season
Away from home, Cruzeiro scores an average of 1.33 goals and concedes an extremely high 4.67 goals
Remo currently scores more often (1.8) than their season average (1.2)
Cruzeiro currently scores more often (2.0) than their season average (1.5)
Remo has achieved 1 clean sheet this season, while Cruzeiro has 3 clean sheets
Both teams scored in 6 of Remo's matches and 7 of Cruzeiro's matches
5 of Remo's matches and 8 of Cruzeiro's matches ended with over 2.5 goals
Key Players
For Remo, Marcelinho (defender) is in good form with 1 goal and 0 assists in 5 games and an average rating of 6.91 in the last 5 matches
Tchamba (defender) played 5 games, scored 0 goals and 0 assists with an average rating of 6.84
Marllon (defender) scored 1 goal and 0 assists in 5 games with an average rating of 6.75
For Cruzeiro, Christian (midfielder) is in top form with 4 goals and 1 assist in 5 games and an average rating of 7.57
Keny Arroyo (attacker) recorded 0 goals and 2 assists in 5 games with an average rating of 7.09
Gerson (midfielder) scored 0 goals and 1 assist in 5 games with an average rating of 7.05
Goalkeepers
Remo relies on Marcelo Rangel, who achieved an average rating of 6.88 and 1 clean sheet this season
For Cruzeiro, Matheus Cunha is in goal, with an average rating of 6.48 and 3 clean sheets this season
Influences
Remo scores an average of 1.14 goals at home and concedes 1.0 home goals
Cruzeiro concedes an average of 4.67 goals per away game
Remo plays counter-oriented in the last 5 games with an average of 42% possession
Cruzeiro plays a balanced style in the last 5 games with 54% possession and an average of 5.8 shots on target