Serie A
Coritiba - Internacional
05/09/2026, 07:00 PM
Expected Goals
1.1
2.1
1.0
1:1
15%0:0
14%1:0
12%0:1
11%2:1
7%What influences the xG?
Coritiba
Internacional
The Lab
- 1Internacional: scored only after the break in 4 of 8 games
- 2Internacional with Matheus Bahia: 2.6 goals/90 min. Without: 0.6 goals/90 min (5 of 8 games)
- 3Coritiba with JP Chermont: 0.7 goals/90 min. Without: 2.4 goals/90 min (5 of 8 games)
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
35%
Draw
33%
Away Win
31%
Goals
Over 1.5
64%
Under 1.5
36%
Over 2.5
35%
Under 2.5
65%
Over 3.5
16%
Under 3.5
84%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
69%
Away or Draw
65%
No Draw
67%
Both Score
Yes
44%
No
56%
Key Factors
- Tight prediction: The analysis model predicts a very close match with a high draw probability of 34%.
- Form differences: Internacional shows slightly better form with 2 wins and 2 draws in their last 5 games compared to Coritiba (1 win, 2 draws).
- Tactical approach: Internacional recently averaged 5.4 shots on target (offensively strong), while Coritiba plays counter-attacking football and only managed 3.2 shots on target (average).
Risk Factors
- Internacional is missing Vitinho and Rafael Borré, leaving only 63% of the usual starting eleven's assists available.
- Coritiba averaged only 3.2 shots on target in their last 5 games.
Overview
Coritiba (8th place, 19 points) host Internacional (12th place, 17 points) in Serie A. The match takes place on May 9, 2026, 4:00 PM. Both teams are in the mid-table and aim to improve their position.
Form
Coritiba's form in the last five matches is DDWLL (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss). This corresponds to 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses. The team lost their last two consecutive matches. Internacional shows a form of WDLDW, with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in their last five games. Internacional won their last match, ending a streak of one draw.
Statistics
Coritiba scored an average of 1.14 goals per game this season and conceded an average of 1.21 goals. At home, the average is 1.25 goals scored and 1 goal conceded per home game, with 2 clean sheets. Internacional scored an average of 1 goal per match this season and also conceded 1 goal. Away from home, Internacional scored an average of 1 goal and conceded 0.86 goals per away match, with 1 away clean sheet. Coritiba is scoring consistently (~1.2 goals per game) based on season average and recent form. Internacional is currently scoring more frequently (1.5) than their season average (1.1).
Head-to-Head
No data on previous head-to-head encounters was found.
Key Players
For Coritiba, Pedro Rocha stands out, having scored 4 goals in 14 season appearances and contributing 2 goals in the last 5 games, showing stable form. JosuĂ©, a midfielder, has 4 assists in 13 appearances and one assist in the last 5 games with stable form. JoaquĂn Lavega, an attacker, scored 3 season goals and 1 goal in the last 5 games. For Internacional, Alerrandro, an attacker with 2 season goals and 2 assists, plus 1 goal and 2 assists in the last 5 games with rising form, is a key player. Johan Carbonero contributed 2 goals and 1 assist in 14 appearances, with 1 goal in the last 5 games. Alexandro Bernabei, a defender, scored 3 goals in 12 season appearances and 2 goals in the last 5 games.
Goalkeepers
Coritiba's goalkeeper Pedro Rangel played 11 season games and kept 4 clean sheets, with a stable form development in the last 5 matches. For Internacional, Sergio Rochet was in goal for 10 season games and recorded 4 clean sheets, also with stable form in the last 5 matches.
Influences
Coritiba showed a solid performance in home games with an average of 1.25 goals scored and 1 goal conceded. Internacional scored an average of 1 goal away and conceded 0.86 goals per game. No data is available regarding weather influence.