Serie A
Remo - Athletico PR
05/24/2026, 07:00 PM
Expected Goals
1.0
2.0
1.0
1:1
15%0:0
15%1:0
12%0:1
11%2:1
7%What influences the xG?
Remo
Athletico PR
The Lab
- 1Athletico PR with Lucas Esquivel: 1.6 goals/90 min. Without: 0 goals/90 min (6 of 8 games)
- 2Remo with Matheus Alexandre: 6.2 goals/90 min. Without: 0.3 goals/90 min (5 of 8 games)
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
34%
Draw
34%
Away Win
32%
Goals
Over 1.5
62%
Under 1.5
38%
Over 2.5
33%
Under 2.5
67%
Over 3.5
15%
Under 3.5
85%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
68%
Away or Draw
66%
No Draw
66%
Both Score
Yes
42%
No
58%
Key Factors
- Athletico PR's blatant away defensive weakness, conceding an average of 2.75 goals per game
- Remo's positive offensive development, currently scoring 1.6 goals per game compared to their season average of 1.3
- The mathematical model predicts a very balanced match with a 34% home win and a 34% draw probability
Risk Factors
- Remo's generally weak defense with an average of 1.69 goals conceded per game throughout the season
- The low mathematical probability of 33% for over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score
- The numerous injury-related absences on both sides could affect squad depth and cohesion
Overview
Remo (19th place, 15 points) host Athletico PR (5th place, 24 points)
Serie A match on May 24, 2026, 8:00 PM
The home team is fighting against relegation, while the visitors are competing for the top spots
The mathematical analysis shows a 34% home win probability and also 34% for a draw
Athletico PR has an away win probability of 32%
Form
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Remo shows a form of LLWDW (2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses)
In their last five matches, there were two wins, one draw, and two losses
Remo's last three matches were a 3-2 win against Chapecoense, a 1-1 draw against Palmeiras, and a 2-1 win against Botafogo
The current trend in goal production is positive, with an average of 1.6 goals compared to the season average of 1.3
Athletico PR has a form of LWDLD (1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses)
In their last five matches, there was one win, two draws, and two losses
Athletico PR's last three matches were a 1-1 draw against Flamengo, a 0-1 loss against Vasco da Gama, and a 0-0 draw against Grêmio
Athletico PR's goal production is currently stagnant at 1.0 goals, compared to the season average of 1.4
Statistics
Remo scored an average of 1.19 goals per game this season and conceded 1.69 goals per game
At home, Remo scored an average of 1.12 goals and conceded 1.12 goals
They kept one clean sheet in a league match
Both teams scored in nine matches, and over 2.5 goals were scored in seven matches
Athletico PR scored an average of 1.31 goals per game and conceded 1.06 goals per game
Away, Athletico PR scored an average of 1.25 goals but conceded a high 2.75 goals
They kept four clean sheets in league matches
Both teams scored in eight matches, and over 2.5 goals were scored in seven matches
Head-to-Head
No data available for previous head-to-head encounters
Key Players
For Remo, Alef Manga is an important offensive force with 4 goals and 3 assists in 16 appearances
Jajá contributed 3 goals and 1 assist in 13 appearances, with an average rating of 6.73
Vitor Bueno shows a rising form trend with 2 goals and 2 assists in 9 appearances and a rating of 7.08
For Athletico PR, Kevin Viveros is the top scorer with 8 goals and 1 assist in 15 appearances
Stiven Mendoza contributed 5 goals in 16 appearances
Gastón Benavídez is an important assist provider with 5 assists in 13 appearances
Goalkeepers
Marcelo Rangel of Remo has kept zero clean sheets in 16 appearances and has an average rating of 7.01
Santos of Athletico PR has kept four clean sheets in 16 appearances with an average rating of 6.81
Influences
Remo concedes an average of 1.12 goals at home, which shows an improved defense compared to the 2.25 goals conceded away
Athletico PR concedes an average of 2.75 goals away, while their home defense is significantly more stable with 0.5 goals conceded per game
No specific stadium or weather data is available