Serie A
Bragantino - Corinthians
08/09/2026, 09:30 PM
Expected Goals
1.2
1.8
0.6
1:0
17%0:0
17%1:1
14%2:0
11%0:1
9%What influences the xG?
Bragantino
Corinthians
The Lab
- 1Corinthians with Gabriel Paulista: 2 goals/game. Without: 0.5 goals/game (6 of 8 games)
- 2Bragantino with Gabriel: 1.7 goals/game. Without: 0.5 goals/game (6 of 8 games)
- 3Corinthians: 3 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 8 games)
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
48%
Draw
34%
Away Win
18%
Goals
Over 1.5
57%
Under 1.5
43%
Over 2.5
28%
Under 2.5
72%
Over 3.5
12%
Under 3.5
88%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
82%
Away or Draw
52%
No Draw
66%
Both Score
Yes
35%
No
65%
Key Factors
- Form and offensive trend: Bragantino has been scoring more frequently recently, averaging 2.3 goals compared to their season average of 1.4
- Tactical shooting power: Both teams showed strong offensive presence in recent matches, averaging 5.2 shots on target each
- Home defense trump card: Bragantino concedes an average of only 0.75 goals per game when playing at home
Risk Factors
- Corinthians must play without Yuri Alberto (3 goals, 2 assists) and André Luiz Santos Dias (3 goals, 2 assists)
- Limited data availability for the weather conditions of this match
Overview
Bragantino (7th place, 31 points) host Corinthians (11th place, 29 points) at the EstĂĄdio Cicero de Souza Marques
Serie A match on August 9, 2026, 11:30 PM
A mid-table clash where both teams aim to push towards the upper spots
Form
Bragantino shows a form of WWWDD with 3 wins and 2 draws
Corinthians has the exact same record of WWWDD from their last 5 games
Both teams are currently stable and unbeaten
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Statistics
Bragantino averages 1.3 goals scored and 1 goal conceded per game this season
At home, their defense improves to an average of 0.75 goals conceded
Corinthians scores an average of 1 goal per away game, but concedes 1.2 goals on average
Bragantino has recorded 4 clean sheets in their home matches this season
Head-to-Head
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bragantino won 3 times, with 1 draw and 1 win for Corinthians
The goal difference stands at 6 to 5 in favor of Bragantino
The last direct meeting ended in a 2-0 win for Corinthians on February 12, 2026
Key Players
Isidro Pitta has recorded 5 goals and 2 assists for the home team
Lucas Barbosa contributed 4 goals and 2 assists with a 7.1 rating so far
Juninho Capixaba scored 3 goals and provided 2 assists as a defender
Rodrigo Garro is the top playmaker for the visitors with 6 assists and 2 goals
Kaio CĂ©sar has 2 goals and 1 assist in 9 appearances
Breno Bidon strengthens the midfield with 2 goals and 1 assist in 19 matches
Goalkeepers
Tiago Volpi started 13 matches in goal this season, keeping clean sheets and remarkably scoring 2 goals
Hugo Souza played 19 matches in goal for the visitors with an average rating of 6.73
Bragantino recorded 7 clean sheets in total this season, while Corinthians kept 9 clean sheets
Influences
The match will be played on natural grass at the EstĂĄdio Cicero de Souza Marques
Venue statistics show an average of 2.6 goals per match with a BTTS rate of 40%
Bragantino benefits from a strong home record, conceding only 0.75 goals per home game