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Serie A

Remo - Atlético Mineiro

08/08/2026, 09:30 PM

2 : 2
Expected Goals
Remo
0.9
Total xG
2.0
Atlético Mineiro
1.1
Most Likely Scores

1:1

15%

0:0

15%

0:1

13%

1:0

10%

0:2

8%
What influences the xG?
REMAM

Remo

Attack weakness (0.56x league average)
-0.77
Standings disadvantage (pos 19 vs 10, 9 places gap)
-0.09
4 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1 goals/match)
-0.06
Alef Manga on the bench (5 goals, 3 assists)
Vitor Bueno on the bench (2 goals, 2 assists)
Marcelinho on the bench (2 goals, 1 assists)
15% of goal output missing (only 74% available)

Atlético Mineiro

Standings advantage (pos 10 vs 19, 9 places gap)
+0.05
3 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1.4 goals/match)
+0.04
Victor Hugo on the bench (4 goals, 1 assists)
Mateo Cassierra on the bench (2 goals, 1 assists)
Tomás Cuello on the bench (2 goals, 1 assists)
Natanael on the bench (0 goals, 2 assists)
Renan Lodi not in squad (0 goals, 2 assists)
13% of goal output missing (only 74% available)
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    Atlético Mineiro: first goal in 6 of 8 games (75%)

  • 2
    Atlético Mineiro: 6 of 8 games without conceding in H1, but only 1 over 90 minutes

  • 3
    Atlético Mineiro with Lyanco: 2 goals/game. Without: 0.3 goals/game (5 of 8 games)

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

28%

Draw

34%

Away Win

38%

Goals

Over 1.5

62%

Under 1.5

38%

Over 2.5

33%

Under 2.5

67%

Over 3.5

15%

Under 3.5

85%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

62%

Away or Draw

72%

No Draw

66%

Both Score

Yes

42%

No

58%

Key Factors
  • Form advantage for visitors: Atlético Mineiro arrive with a stable WLWDW record and a rising trend
  • Offensive improvement: Atlético Mineiro are currently scoring more (1.4 goals) compared to their season average (1.3)
  • Home defensive strength: Remo concede only 1.0 goals per home game on average compared to 1.62 overall
Risk Factors
  • Weakened Remo squad: Key players like Alef Manga, Vitor Bueno, and Marcelinho are missing, leaving only 74% of the goal share active
  • Mineiro squad depletion: Important players including Victor Hugo, Mateo Cassierra, and Tomás Cuello are absent, leaving only 75% of the goal share available
  • Struggling offense: Remo's attack has stalled recently, averaging just 1.0 goals per game compared to their season average of 1.2
Overview

Remo (19th place, 21 points) host Atlético Mineiro (10th place, 28 points)

Serie A match on August 8, 2026, 10:30 PM

Relegation battle meets mid-table stability at the Estádio Estadual Jornalista Edgar Augusto Proença

Form

Remo show inconsistent form with a record of LWLWL

The hosts recorded 2 wins and 3 losses in their recent matches

Atlético Mineiro arrive with a more stable form of WLWDW

The visitors secured 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss recently

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

Statistics

Remo average 1.14 goals scored and 1.62 goals conceded this season

At home, Remo's defense is more stable, conceding 1.0 goals per game on average

Atlético Mineiro score an average of 1.25 goals while conceding 1.25 goals per game

The historical goal average at this venue is 1.8 goals per match

Head-to-Head

There has been 1 head-to-head match between the two sides

This sole encounter ended in a draw

Their last meeting on February 11, 2026, ended in a high-scoring 3:3 draw

Key Players

Jajá with 5 goals this season and a rate of 0.81 goals per 90 minutes recently

Gabriel Taliari averages 0.43 goals per match with an overall rating of 6.85

Leonel Picco controls the midfield with 2 goals, 1 assist, and a 6.81 rating

Bernard shines with 3 assists in the last 5 games and a rising rating of 7.38

Maycon contributed 2 goals this season with a stable rating of 6.83

Ruan reinforces the defense and has already scored 2 goals this season

Not selected for Remo: Alef Manga, Vitor Bueno, Marcelinho

Not selected for Atlético Mineiro: Victor Hugo, Mateo Cassierra, Tomás Cuello, Natanael, Renan Lodi

Goalkeepers

Marcelo Rangel protects Remo's goal with an average rating of 7.06

Everson guards the goal for the visitors with a rating of 6.97

Marcelo Rangel recorded 3 clean sheets this season

Everson achieved 4 clean sheets for Atlético Mineiro this term

Influences

The match will be played on natural grass

Remo's historical home advantage is reflected in their solid home defense

The mathematical model expects a close game with 0.91 expected home goals and 1.11 away goals

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