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Serie A

Internacional - Remo

08/17/2026, 11:00 PM

1 : 1
Expected Goals
Internacional
1.5
Total xG
2.4
Remo
0.9
Most Likely Scores

1:1

14%

1:0

12%

0:0

11%

2:0

10%

2:1

9%
What influences the xG?
INTREM

Internacional

5 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (0.6 goals/match)
-0.17
Defensive strength (1.4 conceded vs 1.5 league avg)
-0.12
Declining form (0.8 vs 1.2 season average)
-0.12
Alerrandro on the bench (3 goals, 3 assists)
Strong home record (1.7 vs 1.2 goals/match)

Remo

3 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1.2 goals/match)
-0.01
Alef Manga on the bench (5 goals, 3 assists)
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    Remo: first goal in 6 of 8 games (75%)

  • 2
    Internacional with Alan Patrick : 0.7 goals/game. Without: 2.5 goals/game (6 of 8 games)

  • 3
    Internacional: scored only after the break in 3 of 8 games

  • 4
    Remo: 67% of xG value comes in the first half (last 8 games with xG data)

  • 5
    Internacional: 66% of xG value comes in the second half (last 8 games with xG data)

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

49%

Draw

30%

Away Win

22%

Goals

Over 1.5

70%

Under 1.5

30%

Over 2.5

42%

Under 2.5

58%

Over 3.5

21%

Under 3.5

79%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

78%

Away or Draw

51%

No Draw

70%

Both Score

Yes

47%

No

53%

Key Factors
  • Remo's extreme away weakness with an average of 2.56 goals conceded per game favors the hosts
  • Mathematical analysis favors Internacional with a 49% probability of winning
  • Both teams recently played very defensively, averaging only 3.0 shots on target per match
Risk Factors
  • Internacional's current slump with no wins in their last five matches (form: LLLDD)
  • Internacional's struggling attack with only 0.8 goals scored recently compared to their season average of 1.2
  • Key players not selected such as Alerrandro (3 goals and 3 assists) for Internacional and Alef Manga (5 goals and 3 assists) for Remo
Overview

Internacional host Remo at the Estadio Beira-Rio

Serie A match on August 17, 2026, 11:00 PM

Crucial relegation battle between 17th place with 23 points and 18th place with 22 points

Both teams desperately need points to avoid relegation

Form

Internacional is winless in their last five matches with a form of LLLDD (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

The home side registered two consecutive draws in their recent games

Remo shows a more stable form of WLWLD including two victories

The visitors recently earned a draw against Atlético Mineiro

Statistics

Internacional scores an average of 1.05 goals and concedes 1.23 per match this season

Their home record stands at 1.08 goals scored and 1.00 conceded on average

Remo averages 1.18 goals scored and 1.64 conceded overall

Remo's defense is highly vulnerable away from home, conceding an average of 2.56 goals

Head-to-Head

There has been only one head-to-head match between these teams

That meeting ended in a 1-1 draw on February 25, 2026

The historical goal difference is completely balanced at 1-1

No team has shown historical dominance in this matchup

Key Players

Johan Carbonero leads Internacional with 5 goals and 3 assists this season

Alexandro Bernabei is a goalscoring threat from defense with 4 goals

Alan Patrick has contributed 3 goals in his 17 appearances

For Remo, Jajá stands out with 6 goals and 1 assist this term

Gabriel Taliari has already scored 4 goals in 10 matches for the visitors

Leonel Picco supports the attack with 2 goals and 1 assist from midfield

Goalkeepers

Matheus Cunha starts in goal for Internacional and has kept three clean sheets this season

Marcelo Rangel has recorded three clean sheets for Remo in this campaign

Both goalkeepers aim to make a decisive contribution in this relegation battle

Influences

Home advantage at the Estadio Beira-Rio could be crucial for Internacional, with an average of 1.08 home goals scored

Historically, matches at this stadium produce an average of 3.0 goals per game

Additionally, 80% of matches at this venue ended with both teams scoring

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