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Serie A

Fluminense - Remo

08/22/2026, 07:00 PM

2 : 1
Expected Goals
Fluminense
1.4
Total xG
2.2
Remo
0.9
Most Likely Scores

1:1

14%

1:0

13%

0:0

12%

2:0

10%

2:1

9%
What influences the xG?
FLUREM

Fluminense

4 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1.2 goals/match)
-0.10
Standings advantage (pos 4 vs 18, 14 places gap)
+0.09
Luciano Acosta not in squad (3 goals, 4 assists)
Kevin Serna on the bench (2 goals, 2 assists)
Guga not in squad (0 goals, 2 assists)

Remo

Standings disadvantage (pos 18 vs 4, 14 places gap)
-0.14
3 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1.2 goals/match)
-0.01
Alef Manga on the bench (5 goals, 3 assists)
Leonel Picco on the bench (2 goals, 1 assists)
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    Fluminense with Guga: 1.6 goals/game. Without: 0.3 goals/game (5 of 8 games)

  • 2
    Fluminense: scored only after the break in 3 of 8 games

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

48%

Draw

31%

Away Win

22%

Goals

Over 1.5

67%

Under 1.5

33%

Over 2.5

39%

Under 2.5

61%

Over 3.5

19%

Under 3.5

81%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

78%

Away or Draw

52%

No Draw

69%

Both Score

Yes

45%

No

55%

Key Factors
  • Matchup advantage: Fluminense's home offense averaging 1.5 goals faces Remo's highly vulnerable away defense conceding 2.4 goals per game
  • Tactical superiority: Fluminense recently controlled matches with an average of 59% possession and 5.4 shots on target
  • Form gap: Fluminense is unbeaten in its last 5 matches and showed stable progression, while Remo continues to struggle on the road
Risk Factors
  • Fluminense will miss key players like Luciano Acosta, leaving them with only 81% of their regular starting strength
  • High draw tendency for Fluminense with a total of 4 draws in their last 5 played matches
  • Remo's severe away weakness with an average of 2.4 goals conceded per away match this season
Overview

Fluminense host Remo at the Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho

Serie A match on August 22, 2026, 8:00 PM

4th-placed Fluminense faces 18th-placed Remo

A crucial match for both the title race and the relegation battle

Form

Fluminense is undefeated in their last 5 games with a form of DDDDW

The hosts recorded 1 win and 4 draws in this period

Remo shows an inconsistent form of LWLDD with 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 defeats

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

Statistics

Fluminense scores an average of 1.5 goals per home game and concedes 0.93

Remo struggles heavily on the road, conceding an average of 2.4 goals per away match

The visitors score an average of 1.2 goals per away game

Fluminense has kept 4 clean sheets so far this season

Head-to-Head

There has been 1 head-to-head match between these teams

This single encounter resulted in a 2:0 victory for the home team

The historical goal difference stands at 2:0 in favor of Fluminense

Key Players

Agustín Canobbio stands out for Fluminense with 4 goals and 3 assists in 16 appearances

Hulk brings threat with 2 goals and an average rating of 7.15

Jajá is the main offensive threat for Remo with 6 goals this season

Goalkeepers

Fábio guards the net for Fluminense with a solid season rating of 6.93

Marcelo Rangel plays for Remo and holds a season rating of 7.00

Fluminense kept 4 clean sheets this season compared to Remo's 3

Influences

The match will be played on natural grass at the Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho

Stadium stats show an average of 2.2 goals per match

Both teams scored in 60% of recent games at this venue

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