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Serie A

Remo - Coritiba

08/31/2026, 11:00 PM

2 : 3
Expected Goals
Remo
0.9
Total xG
1.9
Coritiba
1.0
Most Likely Scores

0:0

17%

1:1

15%

0:1

13%

1:0

12%

0:2

7%
What influences the xG?
REMCOR

Remo

Attack weakness (0.52x league average)
-0.71
Standings disadvantage (pos 19 vs 9, 10 places gap)
-0.10
3 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1.4 goals/match)
+0.05
Jajá not in squad (7 goals, 1 assists)
36% of goal output missing (only 65% available)

Coritiba

Attack weakness (0.72x league average)
-0.34
3 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1 goals/match)
-0.09
Standings advantage (pos 9 vs 19, 10 places gap)
+0.04
Josué not in squad (1 goals, 9 assists)
Tinga not in squad (0 goals, 2 assists)
Weak away record (0.9 vs 1.3 goals/match)
Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

32%

Draw

36%

Away Win

33%

Goals

Over 1.5

58%

Under 1.5

42%

Over 2.5

29%

Under 2.5

71%

Over 3.5

12%

Under 3.5

88%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

67%

Away or Draw

68%

No Draw

65%

Both Score

Yes

39%

No

61%

Key Factors
  • Tactical setup: Both teams recently played counter-oriented with low possession (Remo averaged 42%, Coritiba averaged 40%)
  • Balanced prediction: The calculation model shows the highest probability for a draw at 36%
  • Coritiba offensive edge: Breno Lopes brings significant goal threat for the visitors with 8 goals this season
Risk Factors
  • Jajá is missing, only 66% of seasonal goal threat available for Remo
  • Coritiba averaged only 2.6 shots on target in recent matches
  • J. Soares Pesqueira is out for Coritiba due to muscle fatigue, weakening creativity with 9 assists missing
Overview

Remo hosts Coritiba at the Estádio Estadual Jornalista Edgar Augusto Proença

Serie A match on August 31, 2026, 8:00 PM

Remo is fighting relegation in 19th place

Coritiba holds a stable 9th position in the standings

Crucial points at stake for both sides

Form

Remo is in mixed form with a record of WLDDL

Their last match ended in a defeat against Fluminense

Coritiba shows more stable performances with a DLWDW record

They recently secured a victory against Corinthians

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

Statistics

Remo scores an average of 1.17 goals and concedes 1.63 goals

Remo's defense is stronger at home with only 1.0 goals conceded per game

Coritiba scores an average of 1.25 goals and concedes 1.29 goals

On the road, Coritiba concedes an average of 1.42 goals

Low-scoring matches are common for both teams

Head-to-Head

There has been only 1 head-to-head match between these teams

This single encounter ended in a 0-1 scoreline

The direct comparison is extremely balanced

Limited historical significance for this upcoming match

Key Players

Gabriel Taliari leads Remo's attack with 4 goals this season

Leonel Picco impresses in midfield with 2 goals and 1 assist

Breno Lopes is Coritiba's top scorer with 8 goals this season

Pedro Rocha has contributed 6 goals for the visitors

Tiago Cóser stabilizes Coritiba's defense and has scored 3 times

Goalkeepers

Marcelo Rangel guards Remo's goal with a rating of 7.03

He has kept 3 clean sheets so far this season

Pedro Morisco plays in goal for Coritiba with a strong 7.1 rating

He already has 6 clean sheets to his name

Influences

Home advantage for Remo playing on a familiar grass surface

Stadium history shows an average of 2.4 goals per match

Both teams scored in 60% of the matches at the Estádio Estadual

No relevant weather data available in the system

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