Serie A
Corinthians - Fluminense
09/20/2026, 07:00 PM
Expected Goals
1.0
1.7
0.8
0:0
19%1:0
16%1:1
15%0:1
12%2:0
8%What influences the xG?
Corinthians
Fluminense
The Lab
- 1Fluminense: 5 of 16 goals scored by substitutes (last 12 games)
- 2Fluminense: scored only after the break in 6 of 12 games
- 3Fluminense: 5 goals from minute 80 onwards in 12 games. Against Palmeiras: 2 goals (85', 90+2')
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
38%
Draw
37%
Away Win
26%
Goals
Over 1.5
53%
Under 1.5
47%
Over 2.5
25%
Under 2.5
75%
Over 3.5
10%
Under 3.5
90%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
74%
Away or Draw
62%
No Draw
63%
Both Score
Yes
35%
No
65%
Key Factors
- Form gap: Corinthians lost their last 5 matches in a row (Form: LLLLL), while Fluminense won 3 of their last 5 games
- Tactical edge: Fluminense averaged 5.6 shots on target in recent matches compared to 3.6 by Corinthians
- Squad strength: Fluminense is missing IgnĂĄcio, Guga, and Yeferson Soteldo but still fields 100% of their regular goalscoring power
Risk Factors
- Defensive instability: Fluminense concede an average of 1.91 goals per away game
- Offensive weakness: Corinthians average only 0.8 goals scored per game in recent matches
Overview
Corinthians host Fluminense in Serie A
Match on September 20, 2026, 7:00 PM at Arena Corinthians
The hosts occupy 14th place with 32 points
The visitors travel in 5th place with 45 points
Form
Corinthians is in a crisis after 5 consecutive defeats
Form of Corinthians: LLLLL (L = Loss)
Fluminense is in more stable form with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in their last 5 matches
Form of Fluminense: WWDWL (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
Statistics
Corinthians score an average of 1.04 goals and concede 1.07 goals per game this season
In home games, Corinthians average 1.00 goals scored and 0.93 goals conceded
Fluminense have a stronger attack with an average of 1.52 goals, but concede 1.91 goals on average away from home
Both teams scored in 14 out of 27 matches for Corinthians and in 20 out of 27 matches for Fluminense
Head-to-Head
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Corinthians won 3 times and Fluminense won 2 times
The last encounter on April 2, 2026, ended in a 3-1 victory for Fluminense
In total, Corinthians scored 6 goals and Fluminense scored 5 goals in these matches
Key Players
Rodrigo Garro stands out in midfield with an average rating of 7.18 and 6 assists
Kaio CĂ©sar contributes with an average rating of 7.10 and 2 goals this season
Matheus Bidu stabilizes the team with an average rating of 7.00
Hulk leads the visitors with a strong average rating of 7.46 and 4 goals
Luciano Acosta influences play with 4 goals and a rating of 7.12
Martinelli shines in midfield with an average rating of 7.07
Goalkeepers
Hugo Souza guards the goal for Corinthians, holding a season average rating of 6.77
Corinthians kept 10 clean sheets this season
FĂĄbio is in goal for Fluminense, with a rating of 6.91
Fluminense managed 5 clean sheets in the current campaign
Influences
The match is played on grass at the Arena Corinthians
Corinthians' home record shows 14 goals scored and 13 conceded in 14 matches
In the 5 games played at this arena so far, matches averaged 2.0 goals per game